Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 07/09, 00:00
Prediction: Queretaro (W) vs Cruz Azul (W)
Team pages: Queretaro (W) · Cruz Azul (W)
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.55Total
Queretaro (W)1.09
Cruz Azul (W)2.47
1X2
Queretaro (W)
Draw
Cruz Azul (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Queretaro (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Cruz Azul (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Queretaro (W)
1–1–4
Cruz Azul (W)
(6 last)
- Cruz Azul (W)3-1Queretaro (W)
- Queretaro (W)1-4Cruz Azul (W)
- Cruz Azul (W)0-0Queretaro (W)
- Queretaro (W)1-3Cruz Azul (W)
- Queretaro (W)3-0Cruz Azul (W)
- Cruz Azul (W)2-1Queretaro (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Queretaro (W) 1402 · Cruz Azul (W) 1500
| Queretaro (W) | Draw | Cruz Azul (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 19% | 67% |
| Market | 14% | 19% | 67% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cruz Azul (W) (rating 1402 vs 1500).
- H2H favours Cruz Azul (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Queretaro (W) | Cruz Azul (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.5 | 1.4 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.6 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.6 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Queretaro (W) 1–1–4 Cruz Azul (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Queretaro (W) |
| 18/10/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Cruz Azul (W) |
| 28/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Queretaro (W) |
| 01/11/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Cruz Azul (W) |
| 05/03/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Cruz Azul (W) |
| 26/08/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Queretaro (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tigres UANL (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | Monterrey (W) | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Toluca (W) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Juarez FC (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Leon (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 6 |
| 8 | Atlante (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 9 | Queretaro (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Queretaro (W) | Cruz Azul (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Monterrey (W) | 0-4 L | 0-4 L |
| Unam Pumas (W) | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Club America (W) | 1-4 L | 0-10 L |
| Juarez FC (W) | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Queretaro (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Queretaro (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-5 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 18/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 03/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 01/04 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 30/03 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
Cruz Azul (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-4 | 0-10 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/04 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/04 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Queretaro (W) vs Cruz Azul (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cruz Azul (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Queretaro (W) 14%, draw 19%, Cruz Azul (W) 67%.
How many goals are expected in Queretaro (W) vs Cruz Azul (W)?
The model expects 3.55 goals (Queretaro (W) 1.09 · Cruz Azul (W) 2.47), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Queretaro (W) vs Cruz Azul (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.