Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 06/09, 01:00

Prediction: Necaxa (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)

Team pages: Necaxa (W) · Atletico San Luis (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.17Total
Necaxa (W)1.08
Atletico San Luis (W)3.08
1X2
9% 14% 77%
Necaxa (W) Draw Atletico San Luis (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-3 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Necaxa (W) 0-0-10 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLLLLL
Atletico San Luis (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
LWWWWLWLWW
Head-to-head
Necaxa (W) 2–1–3 Atletico San Luis (W) (6 last)
  • Necaxa (W)1-1Atletico San Luis (W)
  • Atletico San Luis (W)3-0Necaxa (W)
  • Necaxa (W)3-0Atletico San Luis (W)
  • Atletico San Luis (W)2-1Necaxa (W)
  • Necaxa (W)2-1Atletico San Luis (W)
  • Atletico San Luis (W)1-0Necaxa (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Necaxa (W) 1368 · Atletico San Luis (W) 1548
Necaxa (W)DrawAtletico San Luis (W)
Our model9%14%76%
Market8%15%77%
Estimated total (ours) 4.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico San Luis (W) (rating 1368 vs 1548).
  • H2H favours Atletico San Luis (W): 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Necaxa (W)Atletico San Luis (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 4.22.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 2.51.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/20/80%60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 2.93.3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.34.7 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Necaxa (W) 213 Atletico San Luis (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/03/26
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Necaxa (W)1-1
HT 0-0
Atletico San Luis (W)
25/08/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Atletico San Luis (W)3-0
HT 0-0
Necaxa (W)
23/03/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Necaxa (W)3-0
HT 1-0
Atletico San Luis (W)
23/09/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Atletico San Luis (W)2-1
HT 0-1
Necaxa (W)
04/05/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Necaxa (W)2-1
HT 1-0
Atletico San Luis (W)
31/07/23
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Atletico San Luis (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Necaxa (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America (W) 6600 30318
2 Chivas Guadalajara (W) 6402 15812
3 Atletico San Luis (W) 5302 15119
4 Unam Pumas (W) 6303 13119
5 Pachuca (W) 5212 767
6 Atlas (W) 6123 6155
7 Tijuana (W) 5104 8103
8 Puebla (W) 5104 8233
9 Necaxa (W) 5005 3190

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNecaxa (W)Atletico San Luis (W)
Puebla (W) 1-4 L 5-2 W
Tijuana (W) 1-5 L 2-1 W
Atlas (W) 2-3 L 6-1 W
Toluca (W) 1-5 L 1-4 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 4 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico San Luis (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Necaxa (W)

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-4 1-4 76 L
24/08 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-5 0-7 L
16/08 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-5 1-5 24 L
09/08 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-2 42 L
03/08 Atlante (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-1 L
25/04 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-2 2-3 35 L
06/04 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 1-6 37 L
02/04 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-3 0-6 16 L
28/03 Atlas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-3 2-3 24 L
21/03 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 1-5 15 L

Atletico San Luis (W)

LWWWWLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/08 Atlas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
6-0 6-1 55 W
23/08 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-0 5-2 103 W
17/08 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-2 1-3 32 L
10/08 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-0 2-1 37 W
03/08 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-4 63 L
25/04 Leon (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-0 2-1 54 W
06/04 Mazatlan FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-0 38 W
02/04 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-2 3-2 97 W
29/03 Santos Laguna (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-1 2-1 57 W
23/03 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-2 86 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Necaxa (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico San Luis (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Necaxa (W) 9%, draw 14%, Atletico San Luis (W) 77%.

How many goals are expected in Necaxa (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)?

The model expects 4.17 goals (Necaxa (W) 1.08 · Atletico San Luis (W) 3.08), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Necaxa (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.