Prediction: Leon (W) vs Puebla (W)
Team pages: Leon (W) · Puebla (W)
- Leon (W)6-0Puebla (W)
- Puebla (W)0-2Leon (W)
- Puebla (W)1-2Leon (W)
- Leon (W)0-0Puebla (W)
- Puebla (W)2-1Leon (W)
- Leon (W)1-0Puebla (W)
| Leon (W) | Draw | Puebla (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 81% | 12% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leon (W) (rating 1485 vs 1432).
- H2H favours Leon (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leon (W) | Puebla (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2 | 1.3 / 3.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 2.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.5 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leon (W) 4–1–1 Puebla (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Leon (W) | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Puebla (W) |
| 26/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Leon (W) |
| 16/01/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Leon (W) |
| 29/07/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Leon (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Puebla (W) |
| 13/01/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Leon (W) |
| 28/08/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Leon (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Puebla (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 12 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| 5 | Pachuca (W) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 6 | Tijuana (W) | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 6 |
| 7 | Atlas (W) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 5 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leon (W) | Puebla (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Queretaro (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Tigres UANL (W) | 1-2 L | 0-8 L |
| Unam Pumas (W) | 5-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 1-2 L | 2-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Leon (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leon (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/04 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/03 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Puebla (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
4-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 1-5 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-6 | 0-8 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 01/04 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 28/03 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leon (W) vs Puebla (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leon (W) win (79%). Probabilities: Leon (W) 79%, draw 13%, Puebla (W) 8%.
How many goals are expected in Leon (W) vs Puebla (W)?
The model expects 4.29 goals (Leon (W) 3.14 · Puebla (W) 1.14), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Leon (W) vs Puebla (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.