Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 06/09, 03:06

Prediction: Tijuana (W) vs Pachuca (W)

Team pages: Tijuana (W) · Pachuca (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.58Total
Tijuana (W)1.26
Pachuca (W)2.31
1X2
19% 22% 60%
Tijuana (W) Draw Pachuca (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Tijuana (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WDLWWLLWLL
Pachuca (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WWLLWLLWWL
Head-to-head
Tijuana (W) 1–2–3 Pachuca (W) (6 last)
  • Pachuca (W)2-0Tijuana (W)
  • Tijuana (W)1-6Pachuca (W)
  • Tijuana (W)0-0Pachuca (W)
  • Pachuca (W)2-2Tijuana (W)
  • Tijuana (W)3-4Pachuca (W)
  • Pachuca (W)2-3Tijuana (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tijuana (W) 1471 · Pachuca (W) 1532
Tijuana (W)DrawPachuca (W)
Our model19%21%60%
Market18%23%59%
Estimated total (ours) 3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pachuca (W) (rating 1471 vs 1532).
  • H2H favours Pachuca (W): 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tijuana (W)Pachuca (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.41.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.80.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.71.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.42.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tijuana (W) 123 Pachuca (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/03/26
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Pachuca (W)2-0
HT 2-0
Tijuana (W)
01/11/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Tijuana (W)1-6
HT 1-4
Pachuca (W)
25/03/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Tijuana (W)0-0
HT 0-0
Pachuca (W)
21/10/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Pachuca (W)2-2
HT 2-1
Tijuana (W)
26/04/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Tijuana (W)3-4
HT 1-2
Pachuca (W)
13/10/23
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Pachuca (W)2-3
HT 2-2
Tijuana (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America (W) 6600 30318
2 Chivas Guadalajara (W) 6402 15812
3 Atletico San Luis (W) 5302 15119
4 Unam Pumas (W) 6303 13119
5 Pachuca (W) 5212 767
6 Atlas (W) 6123 6155
7 Tijuana (W) 5104 8103
8 Puebla (W) 5104 8233
9 Necaxa (W) 5005 3190

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTijuana (W)Pachuca (W)
Club America (W) 1-3 L 2-3 L
Monterrey (W) 1-2 L 1-4 L
Tigres UANL (W) 0-2 L 0-2 L
Chivas Guadalajara (W) 1-1 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Pachuca (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tijuana (W)

WDLWWLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-3 1-3 14 L
25/08 Atlas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-2 73 L
16/08 Necaxa (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
5-1 5-1 14 W
10/08 Atletico San Luis (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 1-2 97 L
02/08 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-2 21 L
25/04 Mazatlan FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 2-0 50 W
06/04 Necaxa (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 6-1 87 W
03/04 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-2 67 L
30/03 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-1 32 D
22/03 Queretaro (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 3-0 56 W

Pachuca (W)

WWLLWLLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-2 45 L
24/08 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 3-1 55 W
16/08 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 3-1 23 W
02/08 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-1 23 L
11/05 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-4 32 L
04/05 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 2-0 71 W
01/05 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 1-2 50 L
25/04 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 2-3 20 L
06/04 Leon (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-1 5-4 73 W
03/04 Santos Laguna (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 2-1 91 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tijuana (W) vs Pachuca (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pachuca (W) win (60%). Probabilities: Tijuana (W) 19%, draw 22%, Pachuca (W) 60%.

How many goals are expected in Tijuana (W) vs Pachuca (W)?

The model expects 3.58 goals (Tijuana (W) 1.26 · Pachuca (W) 2.31), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Tijuana (W) vs Pachuca (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.