Prediction: Monterrey (W) vs Toluca (W)
Team pages: Monterrey (W) · Toluca (W)
- Monterrey (W)2-0Toluca (W)
- Toluca (W)0-1Monterrey (W)
- Toluca (W)2-2Monterrey (W)
- Monterrey (W)1-0Toluca (W)
- Toluca (W)1-0Monterrey (W)
- Monterrey (W)5-0Toluca (W)
| Monterrey (W) | Draw | Toluca (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 24% | 26% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Monterrey (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monterrey (W) | Toluca (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.1 | 1.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.9 | 3.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 2.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monterrey (W) 4–1–1 Toluca (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Toluca (W) |
| 13/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Toluca (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Monterrey (W) |
| 30/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Toluca (W) | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Monterrey (W) |
| 12/11/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Toluca (W) |
| 09/11/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Toluca (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Monterrey (W) |
| 27/08/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Toluca (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tigres UANL (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | Toluca (W) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Monterrey (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Juarez FC (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Leon (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 6 |
| 8 | Atlante (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 9 | Queretaro (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Monterrey (W) | Toluca (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Leon (W) | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Atlante (W) | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Club America (W) | 0-3 L | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Toluca (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monterrey (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/08 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/04 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Toluca (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 24/08 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 18/08 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-4 | 1-7 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 04/05 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monterrey (W) vs Toluca (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Monterrey (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Monterrey (W) 49%, draw 25%, Toluca (W) 25%.
How many goals are expected in Monterrey (W) vs Toluca (W)?
The model expects 3.21 goals (Monterrey (W) 1.89 · Toluca (W) 1.32), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Monterrey (W) vs Toluca (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.