Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 30/08, 03:06
Prediction: Tigres UANL (W) vs Pachuca (W)
Team pages: Tigres UANL (W) · Pachuca (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.51Total
Tigres UANL (W)2.1
Pachuca (W)1.41
1X2
Tigres UANL (W)
Draw
Pachuca (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Tigres UANL (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Pachuca (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tigres UANL (W)
2–3–1
Pachuca (W)
(6 last)
- Pachuca (W)2-2Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)2-3Pachuca (W)
- Pachuca (W)0-0Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)2-1Pachuca (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)4-2Pachuca (W)
- Pachuca (W)1-1Tigres UANL (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tigres UANL (W) 1577 · Pachuca (W) 1526
| Tigres UANL (W) | Draw | Pachuca (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 23% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigres UANL (W) (rating 1577 vs 1526).
- H2H favours Tigres UANL (W): 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tigres UANL (W) | Pachuca (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.8 | 2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.7 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 1.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres UANL (W) 2–3–1 Pachuca (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 16/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Pachuca (W) |
| 19/04/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 04/11/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Pachuca (W) |
| 20/07/24 NWSL x Liga MXF Summer Cup Women | Tigres UANL (W) | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Pachuca (W) |
| 05/05/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Tigres UANL (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Pachuca (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| 5 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 6 | Atlas (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| 8 | Necaxa (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
| 9 | Puebla (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tigres UANL (W) | Pachuca (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Juarez FC (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Leon (W) | 2-1 W | 5-4 W |
| Club America (W) | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Monterrey (W) | 3-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigres UANL (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tigres UANL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
6-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 27/07 | Club America (W) Mexico Champions of Champions Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 06/04 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 03/04 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
Pachuca (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/05 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 06/04 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 5-4 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tigres UANL (W) vs Pachuca (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tigres UANL (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Tigres UANL (W) 52%, draw 24%, Pachuca (W) 24%.
How many goals are expected in Tigres UANL (W) vs Pachuca (W)?
The model expects 3.51 goals (Tigres UANL (W) 2.1 · Pachuca (W) 1.41), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Tigres UANL (W) vs Pachuca (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.