Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 30/08, 20:00
Prediction: Puebla (W) vs Necaxa (W)
Team pages: Puebla (W) · Necaxa (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Puebla (W)2.06
Necaxa (W)1.36
1X2
Puebla (W)
Draw
Necaxa (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Puebla (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Necaxa (W)
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puebla (W)
4–1–1
Necaxa (W)
(6 last)
- Puebla (W)3-2Necaxa (W)
- Necaxa (W)0-1Puebla (W)
- Necaxa (W)1-1Puebla (W)
- Puebla (W)2-0Necaxa (W)
- Puebla (W)1-0Necaxa (W)
- Necaxa (W)2-1Puebla (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puebla (W) (rating 1422 vs 1372).
- H2H favours Puebla (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Puebla (W) | Necaxa (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 3.5 | 0.9 / 3.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 2.4 | 0.3 / 2.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.7 | 1 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puebla (W) 4–1–1 Necaxa (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Necaxa (W) |
| 09/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Puebla (W) |
| 03/02/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Puebla (W) |
| 13/10/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Necaxa (W) |
| 11/02/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Necaxa (W) |
| 07/08/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Puebla (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Pachuca (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| 5 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 6 | Atlas (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| 8 | Necaxa (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
| 9 | Puebla (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puebla (W) | Necaxa (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 2-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Club America (W) | 1-5 L | 0-7 L |
| Unam Pumas (W) | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Juarez FC (W) | 0-2 L | 0-6 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Puebla (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puebla (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 1-5 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-6 | 0-8 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 01/04 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 28/03 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/03 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
Necaxa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-5 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-5 | 1-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 03/08 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 06/04 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-6 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/04 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-6 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 28/03 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puebla (W) vs Necaxa (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Puebla (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Puebla (W) 53%, draw 23%, Necaxa (W) 24%.
How many goals are expected in Puebla (W) vs Necaxa (W)?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Puebla (W) 2.06 · Necaxa (W) 1.36), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Puebla (W) vs Necaxa (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.