Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 31/08, 01:00
Prediction: Atletico San Luis (W) vs Atlas (W)
Team pages: Atletico San Luis (W) · Atlas (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Atletico San Luis (W)1.85
Atlas (W)1.25
1X2
Atletico San Luis (W)
Draw
Atlas (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico San Luis (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Atlas (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico San Luis (W)
0–3–3
Atlas (W)
(6 last)
- Atlas (W)2-2Atletico San Luis (W)
- Atletico San Luis (W)0-0Atlas (W)
- Atletico San Luis (W)0-4Atlas (W)
- Atlas (W)3-0Atletico San Luis (W)
- Atletico San Luis (W)0-0Atlas (W)
- Atlas (W)2-1Atletico San Luis (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico San Luis (W) 1533 · Atlas (W) 1462
| Atletico San Luis (W) | Draw | Atlas (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico San Luis (W) (rating 1533 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Atlas (W): 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico San Luis (W) | Atlas (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.7 | 1 / 2.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.7 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico San Luis (W) 0–3–3 Atlas (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
| 13/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atlas (W) |
| 31/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Atlas (W) |
| 28/09/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
| 19/03/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atlas (W) |
| 08/09/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Pachuca (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| 5 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 6 | Atlas (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| 8 | Necaxa (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
| 9 | Puebla (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico San Luis (W) | Atlas (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Tijuana (W) | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Toluca (W) | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Leon (W) | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Cruz Azul (W) | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Santos Laguna (W) | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Necaxa (W) | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico San Luis (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 5-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 02/04 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 3-2 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 29/03 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/03 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 15/03 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Atlas (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 02/04 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/03 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/03 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico San Luis (W) vs Atlas (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico San Luis (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Atletico San Luis (W) 50%, draw 25%, Atlas (W) 25%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico San Luis (W) vs Atlas (W)?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Atletico San Luis (W) 1.85 · Atlas (W) 1.25), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico San Luis (W) vs Atlas (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.