Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 31/08, 01:06
Prediction: Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)
Team pages: Chivas Guadalajara (W) · Unam Pumas (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
Chivas Guadalajara (W)2.15
Unam Pumas (W)1.26
1X2
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Draw
Unam Pumas (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Unam Pumas (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
3–1–2
Unam Pumas (W)
(6 last)
- Unam Pumas (W)1-0Chivas Guadalajara (W)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)4-3Unam Pumas (W)
- Unam Pumas (W)0-1Chivas Guadalajara (W)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)2-0Unam Pumas (W)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)0-0Unam Pumas (W)
- Unam Pumas (W)3-1Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chivas Guadalajara (W) 1538 · Unam Pumas (W) 1475
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | Draw | Unam Pumas (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 22% | 21% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chivas Guadalajara (W) (rating 1538 vs 1475).
- H2H favours Chivas Guadalajara (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | Unam Pumas (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.4 | 1.9 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chivas Guadalajara (W) 3–1–2 Unam Pumas (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Unam Pumas (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
| 05/10/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 4-3 HT 0-2 | Unam Pumas (W) |
| 27/04/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Unam Pumas (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
| 25/04/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Unam Pumas (W) |
| 18/04/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Unam Pumas (W) |
| 27/09/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Unam Pumas (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Pachuca (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| 5 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 6 | Atlas (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| 8 | Necaxa (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
| 9 | Puebla (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | Unam Pumas (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Pachuca (W) | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Puebla (W) | 4-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Queretaro (W) | 3-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 21/04 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 06/04 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 03/04 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
Unam Pumas (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-3 | 2-5 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 05/04 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 02/04 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 18/03 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chivas Guadalajara (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Chivas Guadalajara (W) 56%, draw 23%, Unam Pumas (W) 20%.
How many goals are expected in Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?
The model expects 3.41 goals (Chivas Guadalajara (W) 2.15 · Unam Pumas (W) 1.26), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.