Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 20/09, 01:06
Prediction: Tijuana (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Team pages: Tijuana (W) · Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
Tijuana (W)1.31
Chivas Guadalajara (W)1.95
1X2
Tijuana (W)
Draw
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Tijuana (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tijuana (W)
0–3–3
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
(6 last)
- Tijuana (W)1-1Chivas Guadalajara (W)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)2-0Tijuana (W)
- Tijuana (W)1-1Chivas Guadalajara (W)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)3-1Tijuana (W)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)1-0Tijuana (W)
- Tijuana (W)1-1Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tijuana (W) 1471 · Chivas Guadalajara (W) 1518
| Tijuana (W) | Draw | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| Market | 24% | 25% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chivas Guadalajara (W) (rating 1471 vs 1518).
- H2H favours Chivas Guadalajara (W): 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tijuana (W) | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2 | 2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 1.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tijuana (W) 0–3–3 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tijuana (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
| 21/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tijuana (W) |
| 11/02/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tijuana (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
| 07/10/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Tijuana (W) |
| 07/01/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tijuana (W) |
| 17/07/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tijuana (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 12 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 12 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 9 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 8 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 6 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 32 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tijuana (W) | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Toluca (W) | 0-6 L | 1-1 D |
| Pachuca (W) | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Atlas (W) | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Monterrey (W) | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Chivas Guadalajara (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tijuana (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-1 | 5-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 06/04 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 03/04 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tijuana (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chivas Guadalajara (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Tijuana (W) 24%, draw 24%, Chivas Guadalajara (W) 51%.
How many goals are expected in Tijuana (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W)?
The model expects 3.26 goals (Tijuana (W) 1.31 · Chivas Guadalajara (W) 1.95), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Tijuana (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.