Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 27/09, 01:00
Prediction: Pachuca (W) vs Santos Laguna (W)
Team pages: Pachuca (W) · Santos Laguna (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
Pachuca (W)2.62
Santos Laguna (W)0.73
1X2
Pachuca (W)
Draw
Santos Laguna (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Pachuca (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Santos Laguna (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pachuca (W)
6–0
Santos Laguna (W)
(6 last)
- Santos Laguna (W)1-2Pachuca (W)
- Pachuca (W)3-1Santos Laguna (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)1-3Pachuca (W)
- Pachuca (W)3-0Santos Laguna (W)
- Pachuca (W)4-0Santos Laguna (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)1-3Pachuca (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pachuca (W) 1479 · Santos Laguna (W) 1503
| Pachuca (W) | Draw | Santos Laguna (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 16% | 7% |
| Market | 78% | 14% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Pachuca (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pachuca (W) | Santos Laguna (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pachuca (W) 6–0–0 Santos Laguna (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Pachuca (W) |
| 10/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 15/02/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Pachuca (W) |
| 16/09/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 26/03/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 15/07/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Pachuca (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 15 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 12 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 32 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pachuca (W) | Santos Laguna (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Tigres UANL (W) | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Atlas (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Juarez FC (W) | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Monterrey (W) | 1-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pachuca (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/09 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/05 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Santos Laguna (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 14/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/09 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 04/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pachuca (W) vs Santos Laguna (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pachuca (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Pachuca (W) 77%, draw 15%, Santos Laguna (W) 8%.
How many goals are expected in Pachuca (W) vs Santos Laguna (W)?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Pachuca (W) 2.62 · Santos Laguna (W) 0.73), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Pachuca (W) vs Santos Laguna (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.