Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 29/09, 01:00

Prediction: Leon (W) vs Club America (W)

Team pages: Leon (W) · Club America (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.08Total
Leon (W)1.11
Club America (W)2.97
1X2
11% 15% 75%
Leon (W) Draw Club America (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-2 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Leon (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLLWLWWL
Club America (W) 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWWWWWWD
Head-to-head
Leon (W) 1–5 Club America (W) (6 last)
  • Club America (W)4-2Leon (W)
  • Leon (W)0-3Club America (W)
  • Club America (W)5-0Leon (W)
  • Leon (W)0-1Club America (W)
  • Club America (W)1-2Leon (W)
  • Leon (W)2-3Club America (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leon (W) 1480 · Club America (W) 1635
Leon (W)DrawClub America (W)
Our model10%15%74%
Market11%15%75%
Estimated total (ours) 4.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (W) (rating 1480 vs 1635).
  • H2H favours Club America (W): 5-0-1.
  • High corners: 15.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Leon (W)Club America (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.94.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.92.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.74.7 / 9.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.23.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Leon (W) 1–0–5 Club America (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/03/26
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Club America (W)4-2
HT 2-1
Leon (W)
28/07/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Leon (W)0-3
HT 0-2
Club America (W)
25/01/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Club America (W)5-0
HT 4-0
Leon (W)
27/08/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Leon (W)0-1
HT 0-1
Club America (W)
26/01/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Club America (W)1-2
HT 1-0
Leon (W)
22/08/23
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Leon (W)2-3
HT 0-2
Club America (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America (W) 8710 37722
2 Chivas Guadalajara (W) 9603 201118
3 Atletico San Luis (W) 8503 211515
4 Unam Pumas (W) 8404 171412
5 Atlas (W) 9333 101712
6 Pachuca (W) 9315 131310
7 Tijuana (W) 9207 12246
8 Puebla (W) 8107 12363
9 Necaxa (W) 8008 3320

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLeon (W)Club America (W)
Puebla (W) 5-2 W 5-1 W
Monterrey (W) 3-2 W 3-0 W
Tigres UANL (W) 1-2 L 5-2 W
Unam Pumas (W) 5-2 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Club America (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leon (W)

LLWLLWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/09 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-2 45 L
15/09 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-0 95 W
08/09 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-1 5-2 93 W
29/08 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-1 66 L
22/08 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 3-2 43 W
18/08 Queretaro (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-1 55 L
11/08 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-2 55 L
02/08 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-2 5-2 43 W
25/04 Atletico San Luis (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 1-2 64 L
06/04 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-3 4-5 53 L

Club America (W)

WDWWWWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Atlas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-2 102 D
14/09 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-0 5-2 105 W
05/09 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-1 133 W
30/08 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-1 3-1 164 W
24/08 Necaxa (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
5-0 7-0 –– W
15/08 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-1 5-1 156 W
09/08 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
4-0 10-0 41 W
04/08 Santos Laguna (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-0 3-0 125 W
27/07 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-1 35 D
17/05 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 3-0 41 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leon (W) vs Club America (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Club America (W) win (75%). Probabilities: Leon (W) 11%, draw 15%, Club America (W) 75%.

How many goals are expected in Leon (W) vs Club America (W)?

The model expects 4.08 goals (Leon (W) 1.11 · Club America (W) 2.97), with a 58% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Leon (W) vs Club America (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.