Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 27/09, 03:06
Prediction: Juarez FC (W) vs Tijuana (W)
Team pages: Juarez FC (W) · Tijuana (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Juarez FC (W)2
Tijuana (W)0.93
1X2
Juarez FC (W)
Draw
Tijuana (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Juarez FC (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Tijuana (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Juarez FC (W)
4–1–1
Tijuana (W)
(6 last)
- Tijuana (W)1-2Juarez FC (W)
- Juarez FC (W)2-0Tijuana (W)
- Tijuana (W)2-2Juarez FC (W)
- Juarez FC (W)4-0Tijuana (W)
- Juarez FC (W)1-2Tijuana (W)
- Tijuana (W)0-1Juarez FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juarez FC (W) 1563 · Tijuana (W) 1466
| Juarez FC (W) | Draw | Tijuana (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 23% | 16% |
| Market | 61% | 22% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juarez FC (W) (rating 1563 vs 1466).
- H2H favours Juarez FC (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Juarez FC (W) | Tijuana (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.9 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juarez FC (W) 4–1–1 Tijuana (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tijuana (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Juarez FC (W) |
| 09/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Juarez FC (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Tijuana (W) |
| 14/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tijuana (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Juarez FC (W) |
| 26/08/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Juarez FC (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Tijuana (W) |
| 17/03/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Juarez FC (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Tijuana (W) |
| 23/10/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tijuana (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Juarez FC (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 15 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 12 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 32 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Juarez FC (W) | Tijuana (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Necaxa (W) | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Toluca (W) | 0-2 L | 0-6 L |
| Pachuca (W) | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Club America (W) | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juarez FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 08/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/04 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Tijuana (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 15/09 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-1 | 5-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 06/04 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juarez FC (W) vs Tijuana (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Juarez FC (W) win (61%). Probabilities: Juarez FC (W) 61%, draw 23%, Tijuana (W) 16%.
How many goals are expected in Juarez FC (W) vs Tijuana (W)?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Juarez FC (W) 2 · Tijuana (W) 0.93), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Juarez FC (W) vs Tijuana (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.