Prediction: Puebla (W) vs Monterrey (W)
Team pages: Puebla (W) · Monterrey (W)
- Monterrey (W)4-0Puebla (W)
- Puebla (W)0-5Monterrey (W)
- Monterrey (W)5-1Puebla (W)
- Puebla (W)0-1Monterrey (W)
- Monterrey (W)1-0Puebla (W)
- Puebla (W)0-3Monterrey (W)
| Puebla (W) | Draw | Monterrey (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| Market | 2% | 5% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monterrey (W) (rating 1405 vs 1607).
- H2H favours Monterrey (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Puebla (W) | Monterrey (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 3.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 2.3 | 1.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.5 | 2.1 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puebla (W) 0–0–6 Monterrey (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 4-0 HT 4-0 | Puebla (W) |
| 03/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Monterrey (W) |
| 20/01/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Puebla (W) |
| 07/07/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Monterrey (W) |
| 06/01/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Puebla (W) |
| 30/07/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Monterrey (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 15 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 12 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 32 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puebla (W) | Monterrey (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Queretaro (W) | 2-6 L | 4-0 W |
| Leon (W) | 2-5 L | 2-3 L |
| Necaxa (W) | 4-1 W | 10-0 W |
| Club America (W) | 1-5 L | 0-3 L |
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 1-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Monterrey (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puebla (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-6 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/09 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
4-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 1-5 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-6 | 0-8 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
Monterrey (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 10-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/08 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puebla (W) vs Monterrey (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Monterrey (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Puebla (W) 6%, draw 9%, Monterrey (W) 85%.
How many goals are expected in Puebla (W) vs Monterrey (W)?
The model expects 4.78 goals (Puebla (W) 1.39 · Monterrey (W) 3.39), with a 54% chance of under 5 goals.
Will both teams score in Puebla (W) vs Monterrey (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.