Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 28/09, 02:06
Prediction: Tigres UANL (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)
Team pages: Tigres UANL (W) · Atletico San Luis (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.39Total
Tigres UANL (W)3.19
Atletico San Luis (W)1.19
1X2
Tigres UANL (W)
Draw
Atletico San Luis (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Tigres UANL (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Atletico San Luis (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tigres UANL (W)
6–0
Atletico San Luis (W)
(6 last)
- Atletico San Luis (W)0-2Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)5-1Atletico San Luis (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)2-1Atletico San Luis (W)
- Atletico San Luis (W)1-2Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)1-0Atletico San Luis (W)
- Atletico San Luis (W)0-1Tigres UANL (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tigres UANL (W) 1599 · Atletico San Luis (W) 1523
| Tigres UANL (W) | Draw | Atletico San Luis (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 88% | 8% | 4% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.39 goals · Bet365 line 4.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigres UANL (W) (rating 1599 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Tigres UANL (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tigres UANL (W) | Atletico San Luis (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 1.1 | 2.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 80/10/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.9 | 3.7 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres UANL (W) 6–0–0 Atletico San Luis (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 19/10/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
| 11/02/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
| 10/09/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 07/01/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
| 16/10/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tigres UANL (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 15 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 12 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 32 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tigres UANL (W) | Atletico San Luis (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Toluca (W) | 7-2 W | 1-4 L |
| Santos Laguna (W) | 3-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Pachuca (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Leon (W) | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Puebla (W) | 8-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigres UANL (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tigres UANL (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-1 | 7-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
6-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 27/07 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
Atletico San Luis (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 14/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 2-3 | 13 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
6-0 | 6-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 5-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tigres UANL (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tigres UANL (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Tigres UANL (W) 82%, draw 11%, Atletico San Luis (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in Tigres UANL (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)?
The model expects 4.39 goals (Tigres UANL (W) 3.19 · Atletico San Luis (W) 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tigres UANL (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.