Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 20/09, 20:00

Prediction: Unam Pumas (W) vs Puebla (W)

Team pages: Unam Pumas (W) · Puebla (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.48Total
Unam Pumas (W)3.24
Puebla (W)1.24
1X2
82% 11% 7%
Unam Pumas (W) Draw Puebla (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Unam Pumas (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDDLWLWWLL
Puebla (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DDWLLLLWLL
Head-to-head
Unam Pumas (W) 3–3–0 Puebla (W) (6 last)
  • Unam Pumas (W)2-2Puebla (W)
  • Puebla (W)1-2Unam Pumas (W)
  • Puebla (W)0-1Unam Pumas (W)
  • Unam Pumas (W)2-1Puebla (W)
  • Unam Pumas (W)3-3Puebla (W)
  • Puebla (W)1-1Unam Pumas (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Unam Pumas (W) 1486 · Puebla (W) 1428
Unam Pumas (W)DrawPuebla (W)
Our model76%14%11%
Market87%8%4%
Estimated total (ours) 4.48 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 86%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Unam Pumas (W) (rating 1486 vs 1428).
  • H2H favours Unam Pumas (W): 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Unam Pumas (W)Puebla (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 21.7 / 3.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 10.9 / 2.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.31.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.23.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Unam Pumas (W) 330 Puebla (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/04/26
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Unam Pumas (W)2-2
HT 1-1
Puebla (W)
09/08/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Puebla (W)1-2
HT 1-0
Unam Pumas (W)
06/02/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Puebla (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Unam Pumas (W)
24/08/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Unam Pumas (W)2-1
HT 2-0
Puebla (W)
23/03/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Unam Pumas (W)3-3
HT 1-1
Puebla (W)
13/08/23
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Puebla (W)1-1
HT 0-0
Unam Pumas (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America (W) 7700 35521
2 Chivas Guadalajara (W) 8503 191115
3 Atletico San Luis (W) 7403 191412
4 Unam Pumas (W) 7304 15149
5 Atlas (W) 7223 7158
6 Pachuca (W) 7214 8107
7 Tijuana (W) 8206 11196
8 Puebla (W) 7106 12343
9 Necaxa (W) 8008 3320

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUnam Pumas (W)Puebla (W)
Club America (W) 1-2 L 1-5 L
Chivas Guadalajara (W) 2-0 W 1-4 L
Queretaro (W) 5-0 W 2-6 L
Necaxa (W) 2-1 W 4-1 W
Leon (W) 2-5 L 2-5 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Unam Pumas (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Unam Pumas (W)

LDDLWLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-3 63 L
05/09 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-2 23 L
31/08 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-0 2-0 15 W
22/08 Queretaro (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
5-0 5-0 21 W
16/08 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 1-3 23 L
09/08 Necaxa (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-1 42 W
02/08 Leon (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-3 2-5 103 L
25/04 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-1 62 D
05/04 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-2 62 D
02/04 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 0-3 42 L

Puebla (W)

DDWLLLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Queretaro (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-3 2-6 44 L
08/09 Leon (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-3 2-5 63 L
30/08 Necaxa (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
4-0 4-1 66 W
23/08 Atletico San Luis (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-3 2-5 43 L
15/08 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-3 1-5 06 L
09/08 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 1-4 22 L
02/08 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-6 0-8 00 L
25/04 Necaxa (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-1 3-2 75 W
05/04 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-2 42 D
01/04 Queretaro (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-0 105 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Unam Pumas (W) vs Puebla (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Unam Pumas (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Unam Pumas (W) 82%, draw 11%, Puebla (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in Unam Pumas (W) vs Puebla (W)?

The model expects 4.48 goals (Unam Pumas (W) 3.24 · Puebla (W) 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Unam Pumas (W) vs Puebla (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.