Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 20/09, 23:45

Prediction: Club America (W) vs Atlas (W)

Team pages: Club America (W) · Atlas (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.73Total
Club America (W)3.36
Atlas (W)1.36
1X2
84% 9% 7%
Club America (W) Draw Atlas (W)
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Club America (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
LWDWWWWWWW
Atlas (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLDLLDWLLW
Head-to-head
Club America (W) 6–0 Atlas (W) (6 last)
  • Club America (W)2-0Atlas (W)
  • Atlas (W)2-3Club America (W)
  • Atlas (W)0-3Club America (W)
  • Club America (W)4-1Atlas (W)
  • Club America (W)2-1Atlas (W)
  • Atlas (W)1-5Club America (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club America (W) 1677 · Atlas (W) 1453
Club America (W)DrawAtlas (W)
Our model75%14%11%
Market92%5%3%
Estimated total (ours) 4.73 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 87%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (W) (rating 1677 vs 1453).
  • H2H favours Club America (W): 6-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Club America (W)Atlas (W)
Goals for / against (FT)3.9 / 0.71.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)2.3 / 0.40.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/10/10%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)4.6 / 9.11.2 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.13 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Club America (W) 600 Atlas (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/04/26
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Club America (W)2-0
HT 1-0
Atlas (W)
16/10/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Atlas (W)2-3
HT 2-1
Club America (W)
22/01/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Atlas (W)0-3
HT 0-2
Club America (W)
03/11/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Club America (W)4-1
HT 2-1
Atlas (W)
06/01/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Club America (W)2-1
HT 1-0
Atlas (W)
15/08/23
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Atlas (W)1-5
HT 1-1
Club America (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America (W) 7700 35521
2 Chivas Guadalajara (W) 8503 191115
3 Atletico San Luis (W) 7403 191412
4 Unam Pumas (W) 7304 15149
5 Atlas (W) 7223 7158
6 Pachuca (W) 7214 8107
7 Tijuana (W) 8206 11196
8 Puebla (W) 7106 12343
9 Necaxa (W) 8008 3320

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentClub America (W)Atlas (W)
Tijuana (W) 3-1 W 2-0 W
Necaxa (W) 7-0 W 3-2 W
Cruz Azul (W) 10-0 W 1-3 L
Santos Laguna (W) 3-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Club America (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club America (W)

LWDWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/09 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-0 5-2 105 W
05/09 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-1 133 W
30/08 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-1 3-1 164 W
24/08 Necaxa (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
5-0 7-0 W
15/08 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-1 5-1 156 W
09/08 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
4-0 10-0 41 W
04/08 Santos Laguna (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-0 3-0 125 W
27/07 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-1 35 D
17/05 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 3-0 41 W
15/05 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-1 54 L

Atlas (W)

WLDLLDWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Atlante (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-0 36 W
05/09 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 0-4 32 L
31/08 Atletico San Luis (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-6 1-6 35 L
25/08 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 2-0 13 W
18/08 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-1 13 D
01/08 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-3 23 L
25/04 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-2 63 L
06/04 Santos Laguna (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-1 00 D
02/04 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-2 12 L
28/03 Necaxa (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-0 3-2 64 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club America (W) vs Atlas (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club America (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Club America (W) 84%, draw 9%, Atlas (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in Club America (W) vs Atlas (W)?

The model expects 4.73 goals (Club America (W) 3.36 · Atlas (W) 1.36), with a 51% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Club America (W) vs Atlas (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.