Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 22/09, 03:06
Prediction: Santos Laguna (W) vs Cruz Azul (W)
Team pages: Santos Laguna (W) · Cruz Azul (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Santos Laguna (W)1.32
Cruz Azul (W)2.15
1X2
Santos Laguna (W)
Draw
Cruz Azul (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Santos Laguna (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Cruz Azul (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santos Laguna (W)
0–1–5
Cruz Azul (W)
(6 last)
- Santos Laguna (W)0-2Cruz Azul (W)
- Cruz Azul (W)4-1Santos Laguna (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)0-1Cruz Azul (W)
- Cruz Azul (W)4-1Santos Laguna (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)0-0Cruz Azul (W)
- Cruz Azul (W)6-0Santos Laguna (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santos Laguna (W) 1474 · Cruz Azul (W) 1509
| Santos Laguna (W) | Draw | Cruz Azul (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| Market | 22% | 23% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cruz Azul (W): 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santos Laguna (W) | Cruz Azul (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.9 | 1.3 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santos Laguna (W) 0–1–5 Cruz Azul (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Cruz Azul (W) |
| 11/10/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 11/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cruz Azul (W) |
| 17/08/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 12/01/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cruz Azul (W) |
| 04/11/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey (W) | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL (W) | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Toluca (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Juarez FC (W) | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Leon (W) | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul (W) | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 12 |
| 7 | Santos Laguna (W) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 9 |
| 8 | Queretaro (W) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 6 |
| 9 | Atlante (W) | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santos Laguna (W) | Cruz Azul (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Tigres UANL (W) | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Atlante (W) | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Juarez FC (W) | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Monterrey (W) | 1-4 L | 0-4 L |
| Queretaro (W) | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Club America (W) | 0-3 L | 0-10 L |
| Atlas (W) | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Cruz Azul (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santos Laguna (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/09 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 04/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 03/04 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
Cruz Azul (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 07/09 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-4 | 0-10 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santos Laguna (W) vs Cruz Azul (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cruz Azul (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Santos Laguna (W) 22%, draw 23%, Cruz Azul (W) 55%.
How many goals are expected in Santos Laguna (W) vs Cruz Azul (W)?
The model expects 3.47 goals (Santos Laguna (W) 1.32 · Cruz Azul (W) 2.15), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Santos Laguna (W) vs Cruz Azul (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.