Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 26/09, 20:06
Prediction: Queretaro (W) vs Atlas (W)
Team pages: Queretaro (W) · Atlas (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Queretaro (W)1.36
Atlas (W)1.74
1X2
Queretaro (W)
Draw
Atlas (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Queretaro (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Atlas (W)
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Queretaro (W)
1–1–4
Atlas (W)
(6 last)
- Queretaro (W)0-1Atlas (W)
- Atlas (W)6-2Queretaro (W)
- Atlas (W)1-0Queretaro (W)
- Queretaro (W)1-1Atlas (W)
- Queretaro (W)0-2Atlas (W)
- Atlas (W)0-2Queretaro (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Queretaro (W) 1415 · Atlas (W) 1480
| Queretaro (W) | Draw | Atlas (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 26% | 45% |
| Market | 30% | 24% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atlas (W) (rating 1415 vs 1480).
- H2H favours Atlas (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Queretaro (W) | Atlas (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.7 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.2 | 0.7 / 2.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.5 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Queretaro (W) 1–1–4 Atlas (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atlas (W) |
| 06/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 6-2 HT 2-1 | Queretaro (W) |
| 19/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Queretaro (W) |
| 05/10/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Atlas (W) |
| 30/04/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Atlas (W) |
| 27/07/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Queretaro (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 15 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 12 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 32 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Queretaro (W) | Atlas (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Atlante (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Cruz Azul (W) | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Santos Laguna (W) | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 1-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Club America (W) | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Atlas (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Queretaro (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 13/09 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 6-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-5 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 18/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 03/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
Atlas (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 31/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-6 | 1-6 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Queretaro (W) vs Atlas (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atlas (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Queretaro (W) 30%, draw 25%, Atlas (W) 46%.
How many goals are expected in Queretaro (W) vs Atlas (W)?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Queretaro (W) 1.36 · Atlas (W) 1.74), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Queretaro (W) vs Atlas (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.