Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 03/10, 03:00
Prediction: Unam Pumas (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)
Team pages: Unam Pumas (W) · Tigres UANL (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
Unam Pumas (W)1.24
Tigres UANL (W)2.01
1X2
Unam Pumas (W)
Draw
Tigres UANL (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Unam Pumas (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Tigres UANL (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Unam Pumas (W)
1–1–4
Tigres UANL (W)
(6 last)
- Unam Pumas (W)0-2Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)5-1Unam Pumas (W)
- Unam Pumas (W)2-0Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)7-1Unam Pumas (W)
- Unam Pumas (W)0-0Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)3-1Unam Pumas (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Unam Pumas (W) 1493 · Tigres UANL (W) 1595
| Unam Pumas (W) | Draw | Tigres UANL (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 23% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 24% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigres UANL (W) (rating 1493 vs 1595).
- H2H favours Tigres UANL (W): 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Unam Pumas (W) | Tigres UANL (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.5 | 3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.8 | 3.2 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Unam Pumas (W) 1–1–4 Tigres UANL (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Unam Pumas (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 13/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Unam Pumas (W) |
| 13/04/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Unam Pumas (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 12/11/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 7-1 HT 3-0 | Unam Pumas (W) |
| 09/11/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Unam Pumas (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 18/08/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Unam Pumas (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 16 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 6 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 36 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Unam Pumas (W) | Tigres UANL (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Puebla (W) | 2-0 W | 8-0 W |
| Cruz Azul (W) | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Club America (W) | 1-2 L | 2-5 L |
| Pachuca (W) | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Leon (W) | 2-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigres UANL (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Unam Pumas (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-3 | 2-5 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
Tigres UANL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 22/09 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-1 | 7-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
6-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 27/07 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Unam Pumas (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tigres UANL (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Unam Pumas (W) 22%, draw 23%, Tigres UANL (W) 54%.
How many goals are expected in Unam Pumas (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)?
The model expects 3.26 goals (Unam Pumas (W) 1.24 · Tigres UANL (W) 2.01), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Unam Pumas (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.