Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 04/10, 01:00
Prediction: Queretaro (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)
Team pages: Queretaro (W) · Atletico San Luis (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
Queretaro (W)1.36
Atletico San Luis (W)2.1
1X2
Queretaro (W)
Draw
Atletico San Luis (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Queretaro (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Atletico San Luis (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Queretaro (W)
2–2–2
Atletico San Luis (W)
(6 last)
- Atletico San Luis (W)4-1Queretaro (W)
- Queretaro (W)0-2Atletico San Luis (W)
- Atletico San Luis (W)1-2Queretaro (W)
- Queretaro (W)1-1Atletico San Luis (W)
- Atletico San Luis (W)1-1Queretaro (W)
- Queretaro (W)4-0Atletico San Luis (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Queretaro (W) 1415 · Atletico San Luis (W) 1543
| Queretaro (W) | Draw | Atletico San Luis (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 23% | 53% |
| Market | 23% | 24% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico San Luis (W) (rating 1415 vs 1543).
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Queretaro (W) | Atletico San Luis (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.4 | 2.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 90/0/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 3.7 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.5 | 3.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Queretaro (W) 2–2–2 Atletico San Luis (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Queretaro (W) |
| 09/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
| 16/02/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Queretaro (W) |
| 29/07/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
| 15/01/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Queretaro (W) |
| 22/07/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 16 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 6 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 36 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Queretaro (W) | Atletico San Luis (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Atlas (W) | 0-1 L | 6-1 W |
| Puebla (W) | 6-2 W | 5-2 W |
| Leon (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Santos Laguna (W) | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Queretaro (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 13/09 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 6-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-5 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 18/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 03/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Atletico San Luis (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 21/09 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 14/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 2-3 | 13 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
6-0 | 6-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 5-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Queretaro (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico San Luis (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Queretaro (W) 23%, draw 24%, Atletico San Luis (W) 53%.
How many goals are expected in Queretaro (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Queretaro (W) 1.36 · Atletico San Luis (W) 2.1), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Queretaro (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.