Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 03/10, 05:00
Prediction: Monterrey (W) vs Club America (W)
Team pages: Monterrey (W) · Club America (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.65Total
Monterrey (W)1.48
Club America (W)2.18
1X2
Monterrey (W)
Draw
Club America (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Monterrey (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Club America (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Monterrey (W)
1–2–3
Club America (W)
(6 last)
- Club America (W)3-0Monterrey (W)
- Monterrey (W)1-0Club America (W)
- Club America (W)1-1Monterrey (W)
- Club America (W)5-0Monterrey (W)
- Monterrey (W)1-1Club America (W)
- Monterrey (W)1-2Club America (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Monterrey (W) 1594 · Club America (W) 1642
| Monterrey (W) | Draw | Club America (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| Market | 24% | 24% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (W) (rating 1594 vs 1642).
- H2H favours Club America (W): 3-2-1.
- High corners: 14.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monterrey (W) | Club America (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.5 / 1.3 | 4.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.3 | 2.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 5 / 9.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monterrey (W) 1–2–3 Club America (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Monterrey (W) |
| 15/05/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Club America (W) |
| 16/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Monterrey (W) |
| 10/11/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Monterrey (W) |
| 07/11/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Club America (W) |
| 07/10/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Monterrey (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Club America (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 16 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 6 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 36 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Monterrey (W) | Club America (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Puebla (W) | 2-1 W | 5-1 W |
| Necaxa (W) | 10-0 W | 7-0 W |
| Leon (W) | 2-3 L | 5-0 W |
| Santos Laguna (W) | 4-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Tijuana (W) | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 5 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Club America (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monterrey (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 10-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/08 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
Club America (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 14/09 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 5-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 3-1 | 16 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 5-1 | 15 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
4-0 | 10-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 04/08 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 27/07 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monterrey (W) vs Club America (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Club America (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Monterrey (W) 25%, draw 23%, Club America (W) 52%.
How many goals are expected in Monterrey (W) vs Club America (W)?
The model expects 3.65 goals (Monterrey (W) 1.48 · Club America (W) 2.18), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Monterrey (W) vs Club America (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.