Prediction: Pachuca (W) vs Toluca (W)
Team pages: Pachuca (W) · Toluca (W)
- Toluca (W)1-1Pachuca (W)
- Pachuca (W)1-2Toluca (W)
- Pachuca (W)2-3Toluca (W)
- Toluca (W)1-3Pachuca (W)
- Pachuca (W)4-0Toluca (W)
- Toluca (W)2-1Pachuca (W)
| Pachuca (W) | Draw | Toluca (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toluca (W) (rating 1488 vs 1537).
- H2H favours Toluca (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pachuca (W) | Toluca (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 2.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 2.8 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pachuca (W) 2–1–3 Toluca (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Toluca (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Pachuca (W) |
| 05/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Toluca (W) |
| 21/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Toluca (W) |
| 01/10/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Toluca (W) | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Pachuca (W) |
| 19/03/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Toluca (W) |
| 30/07/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Toluca (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Pachuca (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 16 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 6 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 36 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pachuca (W) | Toluca (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Leon (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Tijuana (W) | 1-3 L | 6-0 W |
| Tigres UANL (W) | 0-2 L | 2-7 L |
| Juarez FC (W) | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Monterrey (W) | 1-4 L | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Toluca (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pachuca (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 4-1 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 21/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/09 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/05 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Toluca (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 22/09 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-5 | 2-7 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 24/08 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 18/08 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pachuca (W) vs Toluca (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pachuca (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Pachuca (W) 55%, draw 23%, Toluca (W) 22%.
How many goals are expected in Pachuca (W) vs Toluca (W)?
The model expects 3.72 goals (Pachuca (W) 2.28 · Toluca (W) 1.44), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Pachuca (W) vs Toluca (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.