Prediction: Necaxa (W) vs Cruz Azul (W)
Team pages: Necaxa (W) · Cruz Azul (W)
- Cruz Azul (W)3-0Necaxa (W)
- Necaxa (W)3-3Cruz Azul (W)
- Necaxa (W)1-0Cruz Azul (W)
- Cruz Azul (W)1-1Necaxa (W)
- Cruz Azul (W)0-2Necaxa (W)
- Necaxa (W)1-1Cruz Azul (W)
| Necaxa (W) | Draw | Cruz Azul (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 15% | 78% |
| Market | 5% | 9% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cruz Azul (W) (rating 1369 vs 1477).
- H2H favours Necaxa (W): 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Necaxa (W) | Cruz Azul (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 3.9 | 1.1 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 2.1 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 2.4 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Necaxa (W) 2–3–1 Cruz Azul (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Necaxa (W) |
| 19/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Cruz Azul (W) |
| 13/04/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cruz Azul (W) |
| 03/09/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Necaxa (W) |
| 06/01/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Necaxa (W) |
| 05/09/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Cruz Azul (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 16 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 6 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 36 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Necaxa (W) | Cruz Azul (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Monterrey (W) | 0-10 L | 0-4 L |
| Juarez FC (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Club America (W) | 0-7 L | 0-10 L |
| Unam Pumas (W) | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Atlante (W) | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Cruz Azul (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Necaxa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-10 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-5 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-5 | 1-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 03/08 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Cruz Azul (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 07/09 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-4 | 0-10 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Necaxa (W) vs Cruz Azul (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cruz Azul (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Necaxa (W) 6%, draw 11%, Cruz Azul (W) 83%.
How many goals are expected in Necaxa (W) vs Cruz Azul (W)?
The model expects 3.55 goals (Necaxa (W) 0.77 · Cruz Azul (W) 2.77), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Necaxa (W) vs Cruz Azul (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.