Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 03/10, 01:00
Prediction: Santos Laguna (W) vs Puebla (W)
Team pages: Santos Laguna (W) · Puebla (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.9Total
Santos Laguna (W)2.69
Puebla (W)1.21
1X2
Santos Laguna (W)
Draw
Puebla (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Santos Laguna (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Puebla (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santos Laguna (W)
2–4
Puebla (W)
(6 last)
- Puebla (W)2-0Santos Laguna (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)1-0Puebla (W)
- Puebla (W)2-1Santos Laguna (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)2-1Puebla (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)0-1Puebla (W)
- Puebla (W)2-1Santos Laguna (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santos Laguna (W) 1488 · Puebla (W) 1415
| Santos Laguna (W) | Draw | Puebla (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| Market | 67% | 19% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santos Laguna (W) (rating 1488 vs 1415).
- H2H favours Puebla (W): 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santos Laguna (W) | Puebla (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2 | 1.6 / 4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 2.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 1.4 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santos Laguna (W) 2–0–4 Puebla (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 30/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Puebla (W) |
| 23/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 21/09/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Puebla (W) |
| 16/04/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Puebla (W) |
| 08/10/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 16 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 6 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 36 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santos Laguna (W) | Puebla (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 3-2 W | 2-5 L |
| Tigres UANL (W) | 0-3 L | 0-8 L |
| Monterrey (W) | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Queretaro (W) | 2-1 W | 2-6 L |
| Club America (W) | 0-3 L | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Santos Laguna (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santos Laguna (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 22/09 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 14/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/09 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 04/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
Puebla (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-6 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/09 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
4-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 1-5 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-6 | 0-8 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santos Laguna (W) vs Puebla (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Santos Laguna (W) win (68%). Probabilities: Santos Laguna (W) 68%, draw 18%, Puebla (W) 14%.
How many goals are expected in Santos Laguna (W) vs Puebla (W)?
The model expects 3.9 goals (Santos Laguna (W) 2.69 · Puebla (W) 1.21), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Santos Laguna (W) vs Puebla (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.