Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 19/10, 02:06
Prediction: Tigres UANL (W) vs Queretaro (W)
Team pages: Tigres UANL (W) · Queretaro (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.6Total
Tigres UANL (W)3.3
Queretaro (W)1.3
1X2
Tigres UANL (W)
Draw
Queretaro (W)
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Tigres UANL (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Queretaro (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tigres UANL (W)
5–1–0
Queretaro (W)
(6 last)
- Tigres UANL (W)6-0Queretaro (W)
- Queretaro (W)0-7Tigres UANL (W)
- Queretaro (W)1-1Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)5-3Queretaro (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)2-0Queretaro (W)
- Queretaro (W)0-4Tigres UANL (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tigres UANL (W) 1609 · Queretaro (W) 1411
| Tigres UANL (W) | Draw | Queretaro (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 91% | 6% | 3% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.6 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigres UANL (W) (rating 1609 vs 1411).
- H2H favours Tigres UANL (W): 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tigres UANL (W) | Queretaro (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 1 | 1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.5 | 1.5 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres UANL (W) 5–1–0 Queretaro (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Queretaro (W) |
| 26/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 0-7 HT 0-2 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 01/02/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 12/10/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 5-3 HT 5-2 | Queretaro (W) |
| 09/03/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Queretaro (W) |
| 16/09/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Tigres UANL (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey (W) | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 13 | 30 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL (W) | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Toluca (W) | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 22 |
| 4 | Juarez FC (W) | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Santos Laguna (W) | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 15 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul (W) | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 15 |
| 7 | Leon (W) | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 8 | Atlante (W) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
| 9 | Queretaro (W) | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tigres UANL (W) | Queretaro (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Unam Pumas (W) | 3-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Santos Laguna (W) | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Cruz Azul (W) | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Leon (W) | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Puebla (W) | 8-0 W | 6-2 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigres UANL (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tigres UANL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 28/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 22/09 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-1 | 7-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
6-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
Queretaro (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/09 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 13/09 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 6-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-5 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 18/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 03/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tigres UANL (W) vs Queretaro (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tigres UANL (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Tigres UANL (W) 84%, draw 10%, Queretaro (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Tigres UANL (W) vs Queretaro (W)?
The model expects 4.6 goals (Tigres UANL (W) 3.3 · Queretaro (W) 1.3), with a 50% chance of over 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tigres UANL (W) vs Queretaro (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.