Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 19/10, 03:00
Prediction: Club America (W) vs Pachuca (W)
Team pages: Club America (W) · Pachuca (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.24Total
Club America (W)3.02
Pachuca (W)1.21
1X2
Club America (W)
Draw
Pachuca (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Club America (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Pachuca (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club America (W)
3–3
Pachuca (W)
(6 last)
- Club America (W)3-2Pachuca (W)
- Club America (W)1-0Pachuca (W)
- Pachuca (W)3-2Club America (W)
- Club America (W)2-0Pachuca (W)
- Pachuca (W)3-0Club America (W)
- Pachuca (W)2-1Club America (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club America (W) 1606 · Pachuca (W) 1465
| Club America (W) | Draw | Pachuca (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| Market | 73% | 16% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (W) (rating 1606 vs 1465).
- High corners: 15.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club America (W) | Pachuca (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.5 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.7 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 5.6 / 10.4 | 2.3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club America (W) 3–0–3 Pachuca (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Pachuca (W) |
| 19/09/25 CONCACAF Women Champions Cup | Club America (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Pachuca (W) |
| 01/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Club America (W) |
| 13/05/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Pachuca (W) |
| 10/05/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Club America (W) |
| 04/02/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Club America (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 45 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 21 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 19 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 24 | 9 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 38 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club America (W) | Pachuca (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Leon (W) | 5-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Atlas (W) | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Tigres UANL (W) | 5-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Unam Pumas (W) | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Tijuana (W) | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Santos Laguna (W) | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Club America (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club America (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 29/09 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 14/09 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 5-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 3-1 | 16 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 5-1 | 15 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
4-0 | 10-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 04/08 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
Pachuca (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 4-1 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 21/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/09 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club America (W) vs Pachuca (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club America (W) win (73%). Probabilities: Club America (W) 73%, draw 16%, Pachuca (W) 12%.
How many goals are expected in Club America (W) vs Pachuca (W)?
The model expects 4.24 goals (Club America (W) 3.02 · Pachuca (W) 1.21), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Club America (W) vs Pachuca (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.