Prediction: CD Celoricense vs FC Tirsense

Team pages: FC Tirsense

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.37Total
CD Celoricense0.69
FC Tirsense0.68
1X2
32% 36% 32%
CD Celoricense Draw FC Tirsense
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 58%
Most likely score
0-0 26%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Celoricense 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DWDLDWDWDW
FC Tirsense 6-4-0 (W-D-L)
DWDWWWDDWW
Head-to-head
CD Celoricense 0–2–0 FC Tirsense (2 last)
  • CD Celoricense0-0FC Tirsense
  • FC Tirsense0-0CD Celoricense
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Celoricense 1551 · FC Tirsense 1550
CD CeloricenseDrawFC Tirsense
Our model30%41%29%
Market35%31%34%
Estimated total (ours) 1.37 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD CeloricenseFC Tirsense
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 0.61 / 0.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.4 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/44/22%30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 4.92.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.63.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Celoricense 020 FC Tirsense

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/03/26
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
CD Celoricense0-0
HT 0-0
FC Tirsense
02/11/25
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
FC Tirsense0-0
HT 0-0
CD Celoricense

Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Tirsense 2200 406
2 Montalegre 3120 425
3 Braga B 3120 435
4 Limianos 2110 424
5 Vila Mea 2110 324
6 Braganca 2110 324
7 CD Celoricense 2110 104
8 AD Ponte da Barca 2101 223
9 SC Maria da Fonte 2101 113
10 Chaves B 2101 233
11 Maia Lidador 2002 130
12 Rebordosa 2002 020
13 Brito SC 2002 250
14 Futebol Clube de Vinhais 2002 040

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD CeloricenseFC Tirsense
AD Camacha 2-1 W 0-0 D
Chaves B 2-1 W 1-1 D
Limianos 1-1 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CD Celoricense (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Celoricense

DWDLDWDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 SC Maria da Fonte
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 W
16/08 Montalegre
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 46 D
18/04 AD Camacha
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 2-1 36 W
12/04 AD Machico
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 72 D
04/04 Brito SC
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 1-0 35 W
22/03 Sao Martinho
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 87 D
15/03 SC Vianense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 0-3 30 L
08/03 FC Tirsense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 52 D
01/03 Chaves B
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
2-1 2-1 33 W
22/02 Limianos
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 1-1 89 D

FC Tirsense

DWDWWWDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Futebol Clube de Vinhais
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
2-0 3-0 101 W
16/08 Rebordosa
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-0 31 W
18/04 Chaves B
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 1-1 33 D
12/04 Limianos
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 46 D
04/04 Desportivo Moncao
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-0 94 W
22/03 SC Mirandela
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-0 33 W
15/03 CD Ribeira Brava
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 2-0 85 W
08/03 CD Celoricense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 42 D
01/03 Vilaverdense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-0 63 W
21/02 AD Camacha
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 36 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Celoricense vs FC Tirsense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (36%). Probabilities: CD Celoricense 32%, draw 36%, FC Tirsense 32%.

How many goals are expected in CD Celoricense vs FC Tirsense?

The model expects 1.37 goals (CD Celoricense 0.69 · FC Tirsense 0.68), with a 65% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Celoricense vs FC Tirsense?

The model gives a 58% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.