Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: NK Limbus Pekre vs SD Videm

Team pages: NK Limbus Pekre · SD Videm

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

NK Limbus Pekre1.33

SD Videm2.1

1X2

24% 21% 55%

NK Limbus Pekre Draw SD Videm

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Limbus Pekre 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLDWLD

SD Videm 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDDLWWWL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Limbus Pekre 1424 · SD Videm 1485

	NK Limbus Pekre	Draw	SD Videm
Our model	23%	23%	54%
Market	24%	20%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SD Videm (rating 1424 vs 1485).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Limbus Pekre	SD Videm
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.5	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	3.5 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.70

X4.50

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.80

2 (-1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:45 +41’	3.70	4.50	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Odranci	12	9	2	1	36	13	29
2	NK Ormoz	12	8	1	3	28	18	25
3	NK Fuzinar	12	7	1	4	36	25	22
4	NK Podvinci	12	6	2	4	21	21	20
5	NK Smartno	11	6	1	4	27	28	19
6	NK Carda	12	5	3	4	26	22	18
7	NK Korotan Prevalje	12	4	5	3	20	16	17
8	SD Videm	12	5	2	5	21	22	17
9	NK Race	12	4	5	3	13	11	17
10	NK Hajdina	12	4	4	4	19	20	16
11	NK Dobrovce	12	3	1	8	17	31	10
12	NK Ljutomer	12	2	3	7	14	21	9
13	NK Limbus Pekre	12	2	3	7	13	28	9
14	NK Sampion Celje	11	1	1	9	11	26	4
15	DNS Zavrc	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Limbus Pekre	SD Videm
NK Ljutomer	2-2 D	3-0 W
NK Podvinci	1-3 L	2-0 W
NK Carda	3-1 W	1-2 L
NK Race	1-1 D	2-1 W
NK Smartno	0-4 L	0-3 L
NK Ormoz	0-4 L	1-3 L
NK Hajdina	1-1 D	2-2 D
NK Sampion Celje	0-4 L	1-0 W
NK Odranci	1-2 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 5 L	4 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SD Videm (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Limbus Pekre

LLDLLLDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-2	–	–	D
28/10	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-3	4	1	L
17/10	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	3-1	2	5	W
10/10	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
03/10	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-4	–	–	L
26/09	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	1-3	4	7	L
19/09	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-4	–	–	L
12/09	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-4	–	–	L
29/08	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L

SD Videm

LLWDDLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-3	8	3	L
28/10	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-0	–	–	W
10/10	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	2-0	7	7	W
04/10	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
27/09	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L
23/09	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	2-2	6	6	D
20/09	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	3-3	3	4	D
11/09	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	2-1	10	3	W
06/09	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	0-2	2-3	7	4	L
29/08	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	0-3	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Limbus Pekre vs SD Videm?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SD Videm win (55%). Probabilities: NK Limbus Pekre 24%, draw 21%, SD Videm 55%.

How many goals are expected in NK Limbus Pekre vs SD Videm?

The model expects 3.43 goals (NK Limbus Pekre 1.33 · SD Videm 2.1), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Limbus Pekre vs SD Videm?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.