Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 14/11, 15:00

Prediction: NK IB 1975 Ljubljana vs NK Sencur

Team pages: NK IB 1975 Ljubljana · NK Sencur

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

NK IB 1975 Ljubljana1.44

NK Sencur1.36

1X2

38% 28% 34%

NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Draw NK Sencur

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLDWDL

NK Sencur 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWWWDLWL

Head-to-head

NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 1–2 NK Sencur (3 last)

NK Sencur3-0NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
NK IB 1975 Ljubljana2-0NK Sencur
NK Sencur2-0NK IB 1975 Ljubljana

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Sencur (rating 1472 vs 1514).
H2H favours NK Sencur: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana	NK Sencur
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.8	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.4	2.2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.2	4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 31.94

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.54 → 3.54	Pinn 3.54
X	3.72 → 3.72	Pinn 3.72
2	1.76 → 1.76	Pinn 1.76

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
05:05 +2’	3.54	3.72	1.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 1–0–2 NK Sencur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/08/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Sencur	3-0	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
15/11/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana	2-0	NK Sencur
15/08/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Sencur	2-0	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MNK Izola	13	12	1	0	58	10	37
2	Roltek DOB	13	9	3	1	33	9	30
3	ND Idrija	13	9	1	3	24	14	28
4	NK Tolmin	13	7	3	3	25	15	24
5	NK Litija	13	7	3	3	30	11	24
6	NK Sencur	13	5	4	4	22	23	19
7	NK Skofja Loka	13	5	3	5	20	25	18
8	NK Rudar Trbovlje	13	5	1	7	17	36	16
9	NK Adria Miren	13	4	1	8	26	28	13
10	NK Ziri	13	3	4	6	14	19	13
11	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana	13	3	3	7	12	24	12
12	Svoboda Ljubljana	13	2	2	9	11	27	8
13	NK Fama Vipava	13	2	1	10	16	52	7
14	NK Sobec Lesce	13	1	4	8	8	23	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana	NK Sencur
Svoboda Ljubljana	0-4 L	1-0 W
Roltek DOB	0-0 D	0-2 L
NK Rudar Trbovlje	2-1 W	3-0 W
NK Fama Vipava	1-1 D	4-1 W
MNK Izola	1-4 L	2-5 L
NK Adria Miren	2-1 W	1-2 L
NK Ziri	0-0 D	0-0 D
NK Skofja Loka	2-3 L	1-1 D
NK Sobec Lesce	4-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: NK Sencur (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK IB 1975 Ljubljana

WLLDWLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Svoboda Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	0-3	0-4	3	4	L
31/10	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
28/10	NK Rudar Trbovlje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	–	–	W
17/10	NK Fama Vipava Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/10	MNK Izola Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-4	1	3	L
03/10	NK Adria Miren Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
27/09	NK Ziri Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
19/09	NK Litija Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-3	0	1	L
12/09	NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	2-3	5	2	L
05/09	NK Sobec Lesce Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-1	–	–	W

NK Sencur

DDLWWWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	0-2	1	9	L
31/10	NK Fama Vipava Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	4-1	5	4	W
28/10	NK Adria Miren Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L
10/10	NK Sobec Lesce Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
03/10	ND Idrija Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-2	–	–	W
26/09	Svoboda Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
20/09	NK Rudar Trbovlje Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	3-0	6	0	W
12/09	MNK Izola Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-5	–	–	L
04/09	NK Ziri Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	1-1	4	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK IB 1975 Ljubljana vs NK Sencur?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK IB 1975 Ljubljana win (38%). Probabilities: NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 38%, draw 28%, NK Sencur 34%.

How many goals are expected in NK IB 1975 Ljubljana vs NK Sencur?

The model expects 2.8 goals (NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 1.44 · NK Sencur 1.36), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in NK IB 1975 Ljubljana vs NK Sencur?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.