Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 15/11, 14:00
Prediction: NK Fama Vipava vs NK Skofja Loka
Team pages: NK Fama Vipava · NK Skofja Loka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.81Total
NK Fama Vipava1.6
NK Skofja Loka2.22
1X2
NK Fama Vipava
Draw
NK Skofja Loka
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Fama Vipava
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
NK Skofja Loka
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Fama Vipava
2–1–3
NK Skofja Loka
(6 last)
- NK Skofja Loka5-0NK Fama Vipava
- NK Skofja Loka2-3NK Fama Vipava
- NK Fama Vipava1-1NK Skofja Loka
- NK Skofja Loka2-3NK Fama Vipava
- NK Fama Vipava0-2NK Skofja Loka
- NK Skofja Loka3-2NK Fama Vipava
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NK Fama Vipava 1423 · NK Skofja Loka 1496
| NK Fama Vipava | Draw | NK Skofja Loka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 22% | 51% |
| Market | 27% | 21% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.81 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Skofja Loka (rating 1423 vs 1496).
- H2H favours NK Skofja Loka: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Fama Vipava | NK Skofja Loka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 3.3 | 1.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/0/67% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Fama Vipava 2–1–3 NK Skofja Loka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/26 Slovenia 3. SNL | NK Skofja Loka | 5-0 HT 2-0 | NK Fama Vipava |
| 18/04/26 Slovenia 3. SNL | NK Skofja Loka | 2-3 | NK Fama Vipava |
| 23/11/25 Slovenia 3. SNL | NK Fama Vipava | 1-1 HT 1-1 | NK Skofja Loka |
| 26/10/24 Slovenia 3. SNL | NK Skofja Loka | 2-3 HT 1-2 | NK Fama Vipava |
| 28/04/24 Slovenia 3. SNL | NK Fama Vipava | 0-2 HT 0-1 | NK Skofja Loka |
| 27/04/23 Slovenia 3. SNL | NK Skofja Loka | 3-2 HT 0-1 | NK Fama Vipava |
Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MNK Izola | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 60 | 11 | 40 |
| 2 | Roltek DOB | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | ND Idrija | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 31 |
| 4 | NK Tolmin | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 24 |
| 5 | NK Litija | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 24 |
| 6 | NK Sencur | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 25 | 19 |
| 7 | NK Skofja Loka | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 25 | 18 |
| 8 | NK Rudar Trbovlje | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 17 |
| 9 | NK Adria Miren | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 16 |
| 10 | NK IB 1975 Ljubljana | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 15 |
| 11 | NK Ziri | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 13 |
| 12 | NK Sobec Lesce | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 8 |
| 13 | Svoboda Ljubljana | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 8 |
| 14 | NK Fama Vipava | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 52 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NK Fama Vipava | NK Skofja Loka |
|---|---|---|
| NK Tolmin | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| NK IB 1975 Ljubljana | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| NK Adria Miren | 1-7 L | 2-1 W |
| NK Litija | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| NK Sobec Lesce | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| ND Idrija | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Svoboda Ljubljana | 5-3 W | 0-1 L |
| NK Rudar Trbovlje | 2-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: NK Skofja Loka (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Fama Vipava
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 31/10 | NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL |
1-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/10 | Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/10 | NK Adria Miren Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 1-7 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | NK Litija Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | NK Sobec Lesce Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | ND Idrija Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Svoboda Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 5-3 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | NK Rudar Trbovlje Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
NK Skofja Loka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | NK Adria Miren Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/10 | NK Litija Slovenia 3. SNL |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/10 | NK Sobec Lesce Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/10 | ND Idrija Slovenia 3. SNL |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Svoboda Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | NK Rudar Trbovlje Slovenia 3. SNL |
3-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | MNK Izola Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | NK Ziri Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Fama Vipava vs NK Skofja Loka?
According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Skofja Loka win (51%). Probabilities: NK Fama Vipava 27%, draw 22%, NK Skofja Loka 51%.
How many goals are expected in NK Fama Vipava vs NK Skofja Loka?
The model expects 3.81 goals (NK Fama Vipava 1.6 · NK Skofja Loka 2.22), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Fama Vipava vs NK Skofja Loka?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.