Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: NK Hajdina vs NK Race

Team pages: NK Hajdina · NK Race

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

NK Hajdina1.29

NK Race1.15

1X2

40% 27% 33%

NK Hajdina Draw NK Race

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Hajdina 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDLDWDWLLL

NK Race 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LLDWWDWDWD

Head-to-head

NK Hajdina 1–2–0 NK Race (3 last)

NK Race1-1NK Hajdina
NK Hajdina1-0NK Race
NK Race1-1NK Hajdina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Hajdina 1484 · NK Race 1546

	NK Hajdina	Draw	NK Race
Our model	38%	30%	32%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Race (rating 1484 vs 1546).
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Hajdina	NK Race
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	1.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/43/29%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5.9	2.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:07 +3’	2.20	3.60	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Hajdina 1–2–0 NK Race

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Race	1-1 HT 0-1	NK Hajdina
07/03/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Hajdina	1-0 HT 0-0	NK Race
24/08/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Race	1-1 HT 0-0	NK Hajdina

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Odranci	13	10	2	1	40	14	32
2	NK Ormoz	13	9	1	3	32	19	28
3	NK Fuzinar	13	8	1	4	40	25	25
4	NK Smartno	13	7	2	4	32	29	23
5	NK Podvinci	13	7	2	4	23	22	23
6	SD Videm	13	6	2	5	24	24	20
7	NK Race	13	4	6	3	13	11	18
8	NK Carda	13	5	3	5	27	26	18
9	NK Korotan Prevalje	13	4	5	4	21	20	17
10	NK Hajdina	13	4	4	5	19	24	16
11	NK Dobrovce	13	3	1	9	18	33	10
12	NK Ljutomer	13	2	3	8	14	25	9
13	NK Limbus Pekre	13	2	3	8	15	31	9
14	NK Sampion Celje	13	1	3	9	12	27	6
15	DNS Zavrc	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Hajdina	NK Race
NK Smartno	0-4 L	1-2 L
NK Sampion Celje	2-0 W	0-0 D
NK Odranci	0-0 D	1-0 W
NK Dobrovce	3-0 W	1-1 D
SD Videm	2-2 D	1-2 L
NK Fuzinar	2-4 L	1-0 W
NK Limbus Pekre	1-1 D	1-1 D
NK Ljutomer	3-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Hajdina

WDLDWDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	0-4	8	8	L
31/10	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-3	–	–	L
28/10	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-2	9	5	L
10/10	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	2-0	6	9	W
03/10	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
30/09	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
23/09	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	2-2	1	6	D
19/09	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-4	–	–	L
12/09	NK Limbus Pekre Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	3-1	8	6	W

NK Race

LLDWWDWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
31/10	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	1-0	3	10	W
28/10	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
17/10	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
10/10	NK Limbus Pekre Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
03/10	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
26/09	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
19/09	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	2-2	3	7	D
11/09	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
05/09	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Hajdina vs NK Race?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Hajdina win (40%). Probabilities: NK Hajdina 40%, draw 27%, NK Race 33%.

How many goals are expected in NK Hajdina vs NK Race?

The model expects 2.44 goals (NK Hajdina 1.29 · NK Race 1.15), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Hajdina vs NK Race?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.