Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: NK Dobrovce vs NK Ljutomer

Team pages: NK Dobrovce · NK Ljutomer

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

NK Dobrovce1.61

NK Ljutomer1.84

1X2

33% 24% 43%

NK Dobrovce Draw NK Ljutomer

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Dobrovce 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLDLL

NK Ljutomer 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLLLDL

Head-to-head

NK Dobrovce 2–2–2 NK Ljutomer (6 last)

NK Ljutomer3-0NK Dobrovce
NK Dobrovce3-3NK Ljutomer
NK Ljutomer1-1NK Dobrovce
NK Ljutomer1-4NK Dobrovce
NK Dobrovce1-2NK Ljutomer
NK Ljutomer1-2NK Dobrovce

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Dobrovce 1445 · NK Ljutomer 1411

	NK Dobrovce	Draw	NK Ljutomer
Our model	33%	24%	43%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Dobrovce	NK Ljutomer
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.2	0.7 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/22/33%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 2.9	1.6 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	5.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:47 +23’	2.70	3.75	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Dobrovce 2–2–2 NK Ljutomer

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Ljutomer	3-0	NK Dobrovce
16/05/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Dobrovce	3-3	NK Ljutomer
31/10/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Ljutomer	1-1 HT 1-1	NK Dobrovce
22/03/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Ljutomer	1-4 HT 1-3	NK Dobrovce
07/09/24 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Dobrovce	1-2 HT 1-1	NK Ljutomer
11/03/23 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Ljutomer	1-2 HT 1-1	NK Dobrovce

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Odranci	13	10	2	1	40	14	32
2	NK Ormoz	13	9	1	3	32	19	28
3	NK Fuzinar	13	8	1	4	40	25	25
4	NK Smartno	13	7	2	4	32	29	23
5	NK Podvinci	13	7	2	4	23	22	23
6	SD Videm	13	6	2	5	24	24	20
7	NK Race	13	4	6	3	13	11	18
8	NK Carda	13	5	3	5	27	26	18
9	NK Korotan Prevalje	13	4	5	4	21	20	17
10	NK Hajdina	13	4	4	5	19	24	16
11	NK Dobrovce	13	3	1	9	18	33	10
12	NK Ljutomer	13	2	3	8	14	25	9
13	NK Limbus Pekre	13	2	3	8	15	31	9
14	NK Sampion Celje	13	1	3	9	12	27	6
15	DNS Zavrc	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Dobrovce	NK Ljutomer
NK Podvinci	1-2 L	1-2 L
NK Carda	1-3 L	0-2 L
NK Race	1-1 D	0-2 L
NK Smartno	3-4 L	1-2 L
NK Korotan Prevalje	1-0 W	1-1 D
NK Ormoz	3-4 L	1-1 D
NK Hajdina	0-3 L	1-3 L
SD Videm	3-2 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	0 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: NK Dobrovce (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Dobrovce

WLWLLWLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	1-2	6	6	L
31/10	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-3	–	–	L
28/10	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-1	1	5	D
17/10	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	3-4	3	5	L
10/10	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
03/10	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	3-4	2	3	L
30/09	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
19/09	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
12/09	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	1-3	2	7	L
06/09	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	3-2	5	4	W

NK Ljutomer

LDDLLLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-4	–	–	L
31/10	NK Limbus Pekre Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-2	–	–	D
28/10	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-3	–	–	L
10/10	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-2	–	–	L
03/10	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
29/09	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	1-2	1	6	L
26/09	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L
19/09	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
12/09	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
05/09	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-3	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Dobrovce vs NK Ljutomer?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Ljutomer win (43%). Probabilities: NK Dobrovce 33%, draw 24%, NK Ljutomer 43%.

How many goals are expected in NK Dobrovce vs NK Ljutomer?

The model expects 3.45 goals (NK Dobrovce 1.61 · NK Ljutomer 1.84), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Dobrovce vs NK Ljutomer?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.