Prediction: Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus

Team pages: Deportivo Riestra · Lanus

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.81Total
Deportivo Riestra0.84
Lanus0.98
1X2
29% 35% 36%
Deportivo Riestra Draw Lanus
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Riestra 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WDWLLWLDDD
Lanus 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DDLWLLWLDL
Head-to-head
Deportivo Riestra 3–1–0 Lanus (4 last)
  • Lanus0-0Deportivo Riestra
  • Deportivo Riestra1-0Lanus
  • Lanus0-2Deportivo Riestra
  • Deportivo Riestra3-1Lanus
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Riestra 1500 · Lanus 1465
Deportivo RiestraDrawLanus
Our model29%35%36%
Market29%34%36%
Estimated total (ours) 1.81 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Deportivo Riestra: 3-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportivo RiestraLanus
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.70.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%0/80/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.42.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 04.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Riestra 310 Lanus

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Argentina Liga Profesional
Lanus0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Riestra
14/07/25
Argentina Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra1-0
HT 0-0
Lanus
24/01/25
Argentina Liga Profesional
Lanus0-2
HT 0-0
Deportivo Riestra
09/08/24
Argentina Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra3-1
HT 0-0
Lanus

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Gimnasia Mendoza 8512 14716
2 Velez Sarsfield 8440 11616
3 Instituto AC Cordoba 7511 6216
4 Defensa y Justicia 7421 9814
5 Newell's 7322 8611
6 Boca Juniors 8251 91011
7 Union Santa Fe 7313 121010
8 CA Independiente 7313 6610
9 San Lorenzo 8314 3510
10 Deportivo Riestra 8233 879
11 Platense 8233 8129
12 Lanus 7214 787
12 Estudiantes LP 8215 787
14 Central Cordoba 7214 477
15 CA Talleres de Córdoba 8125 8135

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportivo RiestraLanus
Boca Juniors 3-0 W 0-1 L
CA Independiente 2-0 W 1-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Riestra (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Riestra

WDWLLWLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Platense
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 1-1 35 D
29/08 Velez Sarsfield
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 1-1 23 D
23/08 Huracan
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-0 44 D
16/08 Newell's
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-2 33 L
08/08 Estudiantes LP
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 2-0 27 W
02/08 Barracas Central
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-1 54 L
29/07 Defensa y Justicia
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-2 1-2 36 L
27/07 Boca Juniors
Argentina Liga Profesional
3-0 3-0 23 W
02/05 Lanus
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-0 75 D
24/04 CA Independiente
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 2-0 38 W

Lanus

DDLWLLWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Boca Juniors
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-1 33 L
25/08 Argentinos Jrs
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 1-1 51 D
17/08 CA Independiente
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 1-3 105 L
12/08 CA Talleres de Córdoba
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 3-0 54 W
07/08 Union Santa Fe
TEST Fixtures
0-0 1-2 23 L
03/08 Instituto AC Cordoba
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-1 74 L
26/07 San Lorenzo
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 1-0 86 W
10/05 Argentinos Jrs
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 0-2 27 L
02/05 Deportivo Riestra
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-0 45 D
25/04 Central Cordoba
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-0 53 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lanus win (36%). Probabilities: Deportivo Riestra 29%, draw 35%, Lanus 36%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus?

The model expects 1.81 goals (Deportivo Riestra 0.84 · Lanus 0.98), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.