Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 15/09, 00:00
Prediction: Banfield vs Barracas Central
Team pages: Banfield · Barracas Central
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.99Total
Banfield1.13
Barracas Central0.86
1X2
Banfield
Draw
Barracas Central
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Banfield
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Barracas Central
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Banfield
2–1–3
Barracas Central
(6 last)
- Barracas Central1-2Banfield
- Banfield1-3Barracas Central
- Barracas Central1-0Banfield
- Barracas Central0-1Banfield
- Banfield0-0Barracas Central
- Barracas Central1-0Banfield
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banfield 1474 · Barracas Central 1481
| Banfield | Draw | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 33% | 26% |
| Market | 40% | 35% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.99 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Barracas Central: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banfield | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.5 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Banfield 2–1–3 Barracas Central
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Banfield |
| 29/07/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Barracas Central |
| 01/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Banfield |
| 16/09/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Banfield |
| 14/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Banfield | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Barracas Central |
| 20/09/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Banfield |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Sarmiento | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 15 |
| 3 | Gimnasia LP | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 15 |
| 4 | Atlético Tucumán | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | CA Tigre | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | Independiente Rivadavia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
| 10 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Huracan | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 12 | Banfield | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
| 15 | Racing Club | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Banfield | Barracas Central |
|---|---|---|
| River Plate | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Racing Club | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/07 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 27/04 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Barracas Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 01/09 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/07 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banfield vs Barracas Central?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Banfield win (40%). Probabilities: Banfield 40%, draw 34%, Barracas Central 26%.
How many goals are expected in Banfield vs Barracas Central?
The model expects 1.99 goals (Banfield 1.13 · Barracas Central 0.86), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Banfield vs Barracas Central?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.