Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 13/09, 19:45
Prediction: CA Tigre vs Rosario Central
Team pages: CA Tigre · Rosario Central
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
CA Tigre0.9
Rosario Central0.93
1X2
CA Tigre
Draw
Rosario Central
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Tigre
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Rosario Central
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Tigre
3–3–0
Rosario Central
(6 last)
- Rosario Central1-1CA Tigre
- Rosario Central1-1CA Tigre
- CA Tigre2-2Rosario Central
- CA Tigre3-1Rosario Central
- CA Tigre2-0Rosario Central
- Rosario Central0-2CA Tigre
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Tigre 1475 · Rosario Central 1513
| CA Tigre | Draw | Rosario Central | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 35% | 33% |
| Market | 33% | 33% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.82 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CA Tigre: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Tigre | Rosario Central | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 2.6 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.4 | 5.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Tigre 3–3–0 Rosario Central
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CA Tigre |
| 21/05/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CA Tigre |
| 04/02/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Rosario Central |
| 09/08/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Rosario Central |
| 04/04/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Rosario Central |
| 17/02/19 Argentina Superliga | Rosario Central | 0-2 HT 0-2 | CA Tigre |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Sarmiento | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 15 |
| 3 | Gimnasia LP | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 15 |
| 4 | Atlético Tucumán | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | CA Tigre | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | Independiente Rivadavia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
| 10 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Huracan | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 12 | Banfield | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
| 15 | Racing Club | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Tigre | Rosario Central |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia LP | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Barracas Central | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Aldosivi | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| River Plate | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Belgrano | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Racing Club | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Tigre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 01/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
Rosario Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 9 | D |
| 29/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 17/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 29/07 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 24/07 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 13/05 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Tigre vs Rosario Central?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rosario Central win (34%). Probabilities: CA Tigre 32%, draw 34%, Rosario Central 34%.
How many goals are expected in CA Tigre vs Rosario Central?
The model expects 1.82 goals (CA Tigre 0.9 · Rosario Central 0.93), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Tigre vs Rosario Central?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.