Football · Brazil Serie B · 11/08, 00:30

Prediction: Goias vs Londrina

Team pages: Goias · Londrina

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Goias1.72
Londrina0.91
1X2
55% 27% 18%
Goias Draw Londrina
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Goias 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DLDLWWDWDL
Londrina 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLWWDWDDLL
Head-to-head
Goias 1–4–1 Londrina (6 last)
  • Londrina2-2Goias
  • Londrina0-0Goias
  • Goias0-0Londrina
  • Goias0-0Londrina
  • Londrina1-3Goias
  • Londrina2-0Goias
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Goias 1494 · Londrina 1480
GoiasDrawLondrina
Our model55%26%19%
Market54%28%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GoiasLondrina
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.41.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 5.12.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.14.8 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Goias 141 Londrina

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/04/26
Brazil Serie B
Londrina2-2
HT 1-1
Goias
20/10/21
Brazil Serie B
Londrina0-0
HT 0-0
Goias
17/07/21
Brazil Serie B
Goias0-0
HT 0-0
Londrina
03/10/18
Brazil Serie B
Goias0-0
HT 0-0
Londrina
12/06/18
Brazil Serie B
Londrina1-3
HT 0-1
Goias
07/11/17
Brazil Serie B
Londrina2-0
HT 0-0
Goias

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Criciuma 201172 231240
2 EC Juventude 201055 221235
3 Operario PR 211056 292835
4 Fortaleza 201046 231934
5 Vila Nova 211047 272534
6 Gremio Novorizontino 20965 321933
7 Sport Recife 217113 261932
8 Atletico GO 20875 232031
9 Sao Bernardo SP 21867 312430
10 CRB 20857 313229
11 Goias 20857 212629
12 Athletic Club MG 206104 191828
13 Nautico 20749 242425
14 Ceara 21678 222525
15 Cuiaba 205105 151525
16 Botafogo SP 20668 242124
17 Londrina 205510 273120
18 Avai 205510 212720
19 America MG 202513 143111
20 Ponte Preta 212316 15419

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGoiasLondrina
America MG 0-1 L 1-1 D
CRB 2-2 D 5-0 W
Nautico 1-0 W 1-2 L
Athletic Club MG 1-1 D 2-0 W
Gremio Novorizontino 0-4 L 1-4 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Londrina (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Goias

DLDLWWDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 America MG
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-1 103 L
23/07 Sport Recife
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-1 83 D
18/07 Ponte Preta
Brazil Serie B
2-1 2-1 23 W
13/07 CRB
Brazil Serie B
2-0 2-2 13 D
05/07 Ceara
Brazil Serie B
1-0 2-0 23 W
28/06 Nautico
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-0 32 W
21/06 Operario PR
Brazil Serie B
0-3 0-3 103 L
14/06 Athletic Club MG
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-1 48 D
11/06 Gremio Novorizontino
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-4 94 L
30/05 Atletico GO
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-1 27 D

Londrina

LLWWDWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Gremio Novorizontino
Brazil Serie B
1-3 1-4 53 L
23/07 Nautico
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-2 76 L
18/07 Botafogo SP
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 84 D
14/07 America MG
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-1 74 D
04/07 CRB
Brazil Serie B
2-0 5-0 24 W
26/06 Cuiaba
Brazil Serie B
2-0 2-2 07 D
20/06 Athletic Club MG
Brazil Serie B
0-0 2-0 24 W
16/06 Avai
Brazil Serie B
1-1 3-2 104 W
06/06 Criciuma
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-1 54 L
31/05 Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-1 212 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Goias vs Londrina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Goias win (55%). Probabilities: Goias 55%, draw 27%, Londrina 18%.

How many goals are expected in Goias vs Londrina?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Goias 1.72 · Londrina 0.91), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Goias vs Londrina?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.