Football · Brazil Serie B · 21/08, 00:30

Prediction: Athletic Club MG vs CRB

Team pages: Athletic Club MG · CRB

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

Athletic Club MG1.37

CRB1.04

1X2

43% 30% 27%

Athletic Club MG Draw CRB

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Athletic Club MG 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLWLDDWDWW

CRB 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWLDWWWWD

Head-to-head

Athletic Club MG 1–3 CRB (4 last)

CRB2-3Athletic Club MG
CRB1-0Athletic Club MG
Athletic Club MG1-2CRB
CRB2-0Athletic Club MG

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CRB: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Athletic Club MG	CRB
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.7	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.8	3.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.03

Under 2.251.81

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:16

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.53 → 2.50▼	Pinn 2.50
X	2.98 → 3.01▲	Pinn 3.01
2	2.99 → 3.10▲	Pinn 3.10

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:44	2.53	2.98	2.99
02:13 +3’	2.50▼	3.01▲	3.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Athletic Club MG 1–0–3 CRB

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/04/26 Brazil Serie B	CRB	2-3 HT 2-0	Athletic Club MG
13/08/25 Brazil Serie B	CRB	1-0 HT 0-0	Athletic Club MG
13/04/25 Brazil Serie B	Athletic Club MG	1-2 HT 1-0	CRB
12/03/24 Copa do Brasil	CRB	2-0 HT 1-0	Athletic Club MG

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criciuma	22	12	7	3	24	14	43
2	EC Juventude	22	11	6	5	23	12	39
3	Vila Nova	22	11	4	7	29	25	37
4	Fortaleza	22	10	6	6	24	20	36
5	Operario PR	22	10	5	7	30	30	35
6	Sport Recife	22	8	11	3	28	20	35
7	Gremio Novorizontino	22	9	7	6	32	20	34
8	Athletic Club MG	22	8	10	4	24	19	34
9	CRB	22	9	6	7	32	32	33
10	Goias	22	9	5	8	22	27	32
11	Atletico GO	22	8	8	6	24	23	32
12	Sao Bernardo SP	22	8	6	8	31	25	30
13	Botafogo SP	22	8	6	8	27	22	30
14	Cuiaba	22	6	11	5	19	17	29
15	Nautico	22	7	6	9	26	26	27
16	Ceara	22	6	7	9	23	28	25
17	Avai	22	6	5	11	23	29	23
18	Londrina	22	5	5	12	28	34	20
19	America MG	22	2	5	15	16	36	11
20	Ponte Preta	22	2	4	16	16	42	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Athletic Club MG	CRB
Atletico GO	0-0 D	3-3 D
Ceara	0-0 D	1-0 W
Avai	1-0 W	1-0 W
Londrina	0-2 L	0-5 L
Goias	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Athletic Club MG

DLWLDDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	America MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
09/08	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
29/07	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	1	9	D
24/07	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
18/07	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
14/07	Ceara Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
08/07	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
28/06	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
20/06	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-2	8	4	L
14/06	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	5	8	D

CRB

DDWLDWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
12/08	Avai Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
28/07	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
23/07	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
17/07	Nautico Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
13/07	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-2	2-2	6	3	D
04/07	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-2	0-5	11	4	L
01/07	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
21/06	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	7	2	D
13/06	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	3-0	3-3	3	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Athletic Club MG vs CRB?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Athletic Club MG win (43%). Probabilities: Athletic Club MG 43%, draw 30%, CRB 27%.

How many goals are expected in Athletic Club MG vs CRB?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Athletic Club MG 1.37 · CRB 1.04), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Athletic Club MG vs CRB?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.