Football · Brazil Serie B · 20/08, 02:30
Prediction: Botafogo SP vs Criciuma
Team pages: Botafogo SP · Criciuma
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.84Total
Botafogo SP0.96
Criciuma0.88
1X2
Botafogo SP
Draw
Criciuma
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Botafogo SP
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Criciuma
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Botafogo SP
1–1–4
Criciuma
(6 last)
- Criciuma1-0Botafogo SP
- Criciuma2-0Botafogo SP
- Botafogo SP0-2Criciuma
- Criciuma3-0Botafogo SP
- Botafogo SP1-0Criciuma
- Criciuma0-0Botafogo SP
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Criciuma (rating 1532 vs 1575).
- H2H favours Criciuma: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Botafogo SP | Criciuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.4 | 3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Botafogo SP 1–1–4 Criciuma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Brazil Serie B | Criciuma | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Botafogo SP |
| 16/11/25 Brazil Serie B | Criciuma | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Botafogo SP |
| 25/07/25 Brazil Serie B | Botafogo SP | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Criciuma |
| 18/11/23 Brazil Serie B | Criciuma | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Botafogo SP |
| 18/07/23 Brazil Serie B | Botafogo SP | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Criciuma |
| 12/09/21 Brazil Serie C | Criciuma | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Botafogo SP |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 43 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 12 | 39 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 25 | 37 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 36 |
| 5 | Operario PR | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 35 |
| 6 | Sport Recife | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 35 |
| 7 | Gremio Novorizontino | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 20 | 33 |
| 8 | CRB | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 32 |
| 9 | Goias | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 32 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 32 |
| 11 | Athletic Club MG | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 31 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo SP | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 25 | 30 |
| 13 | Botafogo SP | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 22 | 30 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 22 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 29 |
| 15 | Nautico | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 27 |
| 16 | Ceara | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | 25 |
| 17 | Londrina | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 34 | 20 |
| 18 | Avai | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 28 | 20 |
| 19 | America MG | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 33 | 11 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 42 | 10 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Botafogo SP | Criciuma |
|---|---|---|
| Sao Bernardo SP | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| America MG | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Sport Recife | 3-3 D | 1-0 W |
| Ceara | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botafogo SP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/07 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 07/07 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/07 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
Criciuma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 22/07 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 09/07 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 24/06 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/06 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botafogo SP vs Criciuma?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Botafogo SP win (35%). Probabilities: Botafogo SP 35%, draw 35%, Criciuma 30%.
How many goals are expected in Botafogo SP vs Criciuma?
The model expects 1.84 goals (Botafogo SP 0.96 · Criciuma 0.88), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Botafogo SP vs Criciuma?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.