Football · Brazil Serie B · 20/08, 00:30

Prediction: Avai vs Sport Recife

Team pages: Avai · Sport Recife

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.31Total

Avai1.21

Sport Recife1.1

1X2

37% 31% 32%

Avai Draw Sport Recife

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Avai 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWDWLL

Sport Recife 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDLLDDDDWW

Head-to-head

Avai 2–2–2 Sport Recife (6 last)

Sport Recife2-2Avai
Avai0-2Sport Recife
Sport Recife1-2Avai
Avai2-2Sport Recife
Sport Recife2-1Avai
Sport Recife0-1Avai

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Avai	Sport Recife
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4	1.8 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.86

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:42

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.69 → 2.69	Pinn 2.69
X	3.06 → 3.06	Pinn 3.06
2	2.74 → 2.74	Pinn 2.74

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:36 +6’	2.69	3.06	2.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Avai 2–2–2 Sport Recife

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	2-2 HT 1-1	Avai
08/09/24 Brazil Serie B	Avai	0-2 HT 0-1	Sport Recife
19/05/24 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	1-2 HT 1-0	Avai
30/09/23 Brazil Serie B	Avai	2-2 HT 2-1	Sport Recife
08/06/23 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	2-1 HT 1-0	Avai
10/09/17 Brazil Serie A	Sport Recife	0-1 HT 0-1	Avai

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criciuma	22	12	7	3	24	14	43
2	EC Juventude	22	11	6	5	23	12	39
3	Vila Nova	22	11	4	7	29	25	37
4	Fortaleza	22	10	6	6	24	20	36
5	Operario PR	21	10	5	6	29	28	35
6	Sport Recife	22	8	11	3	28	20	35
7	Gremio Novorizontino	21	9	6	6	32	20	33
8	CRB	21	9	5	7	32	32	32
9	Goias	22	9	5	8	22	27	32
10	Atletico GO	22	8	8	6	24	23	32
11	Athletic Club MG	21	7	10	4	21	18	31
12	Sao Bernardo SP	22	8	6	8	31	25	30
13	Botafogo SP	22	8	6	8	27	22	30
14	Cuiaba	22	6	11	5	19	17	29
15	Nautico	22	7	6	9	26	26	27
16	Ceara	22	6	7	9	23	28	25
17	Londrina	22	5	5	12	28	34	20
18	Avai	21	5	5	11	21	28	20
19	America MG	21	2	5	14	15	33	11
20	Ponte Preta	22	2	4	16	16	42	10

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Avai	Sport Recife
Sao Bernardo SP	1-1 D	0-0 D
Botafogo SP	1-3 L	3-3 D
Cuiaba	1-0 W	1-1 D
Londrina	2-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sport Recife (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Avai

LLWLLWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	14	4	L
29/07	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
22/07	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
18/07	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
12/07	Nautico Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
07/07	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-3	2	2	L
28/06	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
21/06	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
16/06	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-3	6	4	L
11/06	Ceara Brazil Serie B	0-2	1-2	0	5	L

Sport Recife

DDLLDDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Londrina Brazil Serie B	2-1	2-1	1	2	W
08/08	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
28/07	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
23/07	Goias Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
18/07	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-2	7	8	D
11/07	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-2	3-3	7	7	D
04/07	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
28/06	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
19/06	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
14/06	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	11	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Avai vs Sport Recife?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Avai win (37%). Probabilities: Avai 37%, draw 31%, Sport Recife 32%.

How many goals are expected in Avai vs Sport Recife?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Avai 1.21 · Sport Recife 1.1), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Avai vs Sport Recife?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.