Football · Brazil Serie B · 20/08, 01:30

Prediction: Cuiaba vs Operario PR

Team pages: Cuiaba · Operario PR

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.11Total

Cuiaba1.19

Operario PR0.92

1X2

41% 32% 27%

Cuiaba Draw Operario PR

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Cuiaba 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWDLLDDW

Operario PR 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWDWLL

Head-to-head

Cuiaba 1–3–2 Operario PR (6 last)

Operario PR0-0Cuiaba
Operario PR1-1Cuiaba
Cuiaba2-3Operario PR
Cuiaba2-0Operario PR
Operario PR1-1Cuiaba
Operario PR2-1Cuiaba

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Operario PR: 2-3-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cuiaba	Operario PR
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 7.4	2.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 22.03

Under 21.77

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.22 → 2.22	Pinn 2.22
X	2.89 → 2.89	Pinn 2.89
2	3.72 → 3.72	Pinn 3.72

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:45	2.22	2.89	3.72

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cuiaba 1–3–2 Operario PR

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Brazil Serie B	Operario PR	0-0 HT 0-0	Cuiaba
14/09/25 Brazil Serie B	Operario PR	1-1 HT 0-1	Cuiaba
11/05/25 Brazil Serie B	Cuiaba	2-3 HT 0-2	Operario PR
19/12/20 Brazil Serie B	Cuiaba	2-0 HT 1-0	Operario PR
23/09/20 Brazil Serie B	Operario PR	1-1 HT 1-0	Cuiaba
07/09/19 Brazil Serie B	Operario PR	2-1 HT 1-0	Cuiaba

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criciuma	22	12	7	3	24	14	43
2	EC Juventude	22	11	6	5	23	12	39
3	Vila Nova	22	11	4	7	29	25	37
4	Fortaleza	22	10	6	6	24	20	36
5	Operario PR	21	10	5	6	29	28	35
6	Sport Recife	22	8	11	3	28	20	35
7	Gremio Novorizontino	21	9	6	6	32	20	33
8	CRB	21	9	5	7	32	32	32
9	Goias	22	9	5	8	22	27	32
10	Atletico GO	22	8	8	6	24	23	32
11	Athletic Club MG	21	7	10	4	21	18	31
12	Sao Bernardo SP	22	8	6	8	31	25	30
13	Botafogo SP	22	8	6	8	27	22	30
14	Cuiaba	22	6	11	5	19	17	29
15	Nautico	22	7	6	9	26	26	27
16	Ceara	22	6	7	9	23	28	25
17	Londrina	22	5	5	12	28	34	20
18	Avai	21	5	5	11	21	28	20
19	America MG	21	2	5	14	15	33	11
20	Ponte Preta	22	2	4	16	16	42	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cuiaba	Operario PR
Sport Recife	1-1 D	2-2 D
Atletico GO	0-1 L	1-3 L
EC Juventude	0-2 L	2-1 W
Sao Bernardo SP	2-2 D	1-3 L
America MG	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Cuiaba (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cuiaba

WLDWDLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-1	5	3	W
09/08	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
28/07	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	11	2	D
24/07	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	8	6	L
18/07	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
12/07	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	2-2	2-2	7	4	D
03/07	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
26/06	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-2	2-2	9	7	D
21/06	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	13	2	L
14/06	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	5	2	W

Operario PR

WLWWWWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-3	7	4	L
28/07	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	1-2	1-3	2	3	L
23/07	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	1-1	3-2	6	6	W
18/07	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-2	1	8	D
12/07	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-1	10	3	W
08/07	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
27/06	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
21/06	Goias Brazil Serie B	3-0	3-0	0	3	W
15/06	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-2	3	7	L
06/06	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	4	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cuiaba vs Operario PR?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cuiaba win (41%). Probabilities: Cuiaba 41%, draw 32%, Operario PR 27%.

How many goals are expected in Cuiaba vs Operario PR?

The model expects 2.11 goals (Cuiaba 1.19 · Operario PR 0.92), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Cuiaba vs Operario PR?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.