Football · Brazil Serie B · 20/08, 00:30

Prediction: Fortaleza vs Sao Bernardo SP

Team pages: Fortaleza · Sao Bernardo SP

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Fortaleza1.56
Sao Bernardo SP0.82
1X2
54% 28% 18%
Fortaleza Draw Sao Bernardo SP
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Fortaleza 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWLWLWDD
Sao Bernardo SP 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DLLLDDLLWL
Head-to-head
Fortaleza 1–0 Sao Bernardo SP (1 last)
  • Sao Bernardo SP0-1Fortaleza
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fortaleza (rating 1504 vs 1447).
  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FortalezaSao Bernardo SP
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 11.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 6.41.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.24.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortaleza 100 Sao Bernardo SP

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Brazil Serie B
Sao Bernardo SP0-1
HT 0-0
Fortaleza

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Criciuma 221273 241443
2 EC Juventude 221165 231239
3 Vila Nova 221147 292537
4 Fortaleza 221066 242036
5 Operario PR 211056 292835
6 Sport Recife 228113 282035
7 Gremio Novorizontino 21966 322033
8 CRB 21957 323232
9 Goias 22958 222732
10 Atletico GO 22886 242332
11 Athletic Club MG 217104 211831
12 Sao Bernardo SP 22868 312530
13 Botafogo SP 22868 272230
14 Cuiaba 226115 191729
15 Nautico 22769 262627
16 Ceara 22679 232825
17 Londrina 225512 283420
18 Avai 215511 212820
19 America MG 212514 153311
20 Ponte Preta 222416 164210

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFortalezaSao Bernardo SP
EC Juventude 0-0 D 0-1 L
Cuiaba 1-1 D 2-2 D
Botafogo SP 1-0 W 0-1 L
Vila Nova 1-2 L 1-2 L
Sport Recife 2-1 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Fortaleza (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fortaleza

WWLWLWLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 EC Juventude
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 44 D
09/08 Cuiaba
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-1 35 D
06/08 Palmeiras
Copa do Brasil
2-1 3-2 61 W
02/08 Palmeiras
Copa do Brasil
0-0 0-3 73 L
29/07 Botafogo SP
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-0 103 W
22/07 Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B
0-2 1-2 44 L
18/07 Gremio Novorizontino
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-0 105 W
12/07 Atletico GO
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-1 117 L
03/07 Ponte Preta
Brazil Serie B
0-0 2-0 77 W
28/06 Sport Recife
Brazil Serie B
1-0 2-1 25 W

Sao Bernardo SP

DLLLDDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Botafogo SP
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-1 123 L
08/08 Operario PR
Brazil Serie B
1-0 3-1 34 W
26/07 Ceara
Brazil Serie B
1-0 3-4 103 L
24/07 Athletic Club MG
Brazil Serie B
1-1 1-2 74 L
18/07 Avai
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-1 95 D
12/07 Cuiaba
Brazil Serie B
2-2 2-2 64 D
07/07 Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-2 63 L
27/06 Criciuma
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-1 27 L
21/06 EC Juventude
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-1 17 L
14/06 Sport Recife
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 34 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fortaleza vs Sao Bernardo SP?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fortaleza win (54%). Probabilities: Fortaleza 54%, draw 28%, Sao Bernardo SP 18%.

How many goals are expected in Fortaleza vs Sao Bernardo SP?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Fortaleza 1.56 · Sao Bernardo SP 0.82), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fortaleza vs Sao Bernardo SP?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.