Football · South Africa Premier · 11/09, 19:30

Prediction: Stellenbosch FC vs Sekhukhune United FC

Team pages: Stellenbosch FC · Sekhukhune United FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.99Total

Stellenbosch FC1.09

Sekhukhune United FC0.9

1X2

39% 33% 29%

Stellenbosch FC Draw Sekhukhune United FC

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Stellenbosch FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWDLDWLD

Sekhukhune United FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDDWLWLD

Head-to-head

Stellenbosch FC 4–2–0 Sekhukhune United FC (6 last)

Stellenbosch FC3-1Sekhukhune United FC
Sekhukhune United FC0-1Stellenbosch FC
Sekhukhune United FC1-1Stellenbosch FC
Stellenbosch FC2-0Sekhukhune United FC
Sekhukhune United FC1-2Stellenbosch FC
Stellenbosch FC1-1Sekhukhune United FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stellenbosch FC 1499 · Sekhukhune United FC 1481

	Stellenbosch FC	Draw	Sekhukhune United FC
Our model	38%	33%	28%
Market	39%	32%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 1.99 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Stellenbosch FC: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stellenbosch FC	Sekhukhune United FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	1.4 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X2.80

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 22.05

Under 21.75

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.30▲	Pinn 2.67 ★
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	3.20 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:29 +5’	2.25	2.80	3.20
16:31 +6’	2.30▲	2.80	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:38 +56’	2.50	2.77	3.16
15:59 +38’	2.67▲	2.70▼	3.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stellenbosch FC 4–2–0 Sekhukhune United FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 South Africa Premier	Stellenbosch FC	3-1 HT 2-0	Sekhukhune United FC
20/01/26 South Africa Premier	Sekhukhune United FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Stellenbosch FC
23/08/25 South Africa Supa 8 Cup	Sekhukhune United FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Stellenbosch FC
16/08/25 South Africa Supa 8 Cup	Stellenbosch FC	2-0 HT 2-0	Sekhukhune United FC
16/03/25 South Africa Premier	Sekhukhune United FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Stellenbosch FC
01/02/25 South Africa Premier	Stellenbosch FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Sekhukhune United FC

Standings · South Africa Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	7	6	1	0	18	6	19
2	Orlando Pirates	5	4	1	0	12	1	13
3	Kaizer Chiefs	5	3	2	0	11	6	11
4	Amazulu	5	3	1	1	8	7	10
5	Milford FC	6	2	2	2	3	5	8
6	Sekhukhune United FC	5	2	1	2	3	4	7
7	Durban City	5	1	3	1	3	2	6
8	TS Galaxy	5	1	3	1	7	7	6
9	Golden Arrows	5	1	3	1	2	2	6
10	Polokwane City	5	1	3	1	7	8	6
11	Stellenbosch FC	5	1	2	2	6	6	5
12	Chippa United	5	0	4	1	2	5	4
13	Richards Bay FC	5	0	3	2	6	8	3
14	Marumo Gallants	5	0	2	3	5	10	2
15	Siwelele FC	6	0	2	4	5	12	2
16	Kruger United	5	0	1	4	2	11	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stellenbosch FC	Sekhukhune United FC
Durban City	0-0 D	1-0 W
Marumo Gallants	3-1 W	1-1 D
Polokwane City	3-3 D	2-0 W
Orlando Pirates	0-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sekhukhune United FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stellenbosch FC

LLDWDLDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/09	Durban City South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
26/08	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
14/08	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	2-0	3-1	4	5	W
11/08	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	1-1	3-3	6	1	D
01/08	Amazulu South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
23/05	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
16/05	Orbit College South Africa Premier	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
08/05	Durban City South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
05/05	Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
26/04	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	9	4	L

Sekhukhune United FC

DWLDDWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	TS Galaxy South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
25/08	Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
15/08	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	2-0	2-0	5	5	W
12/08	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
01/08	Durban City South Africa Premier	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
23/05	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	0-2	2-2	4	8	D
16/05	Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
10/05	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
06/05	Chippa United South Africa Premier	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
25/04	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stellenbosch FC vs Sekhukhune United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stellenbosch FC win (39%). Probabilities: Stellenbosch FC 39%, draw 33%, Sekhukhune United FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Stellenbosch FC vs Sekhukhune United FC?

The model expects 1.99 goals (Stellenbosch FC 1.09 · Sekhukhune United FC 0.9), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Stellenbosch FC vs Sekhukhune United FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.