Football · South Africa Premier · 20/09, 17:30

Prediction: TS Galaxy vs Chippa United

Team pages: TS Galaxy · Chippa United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.11Total

TS Galaxy1.29

Chippa United0.82

1X2

47% 31% 23%

TS Galaxy Draw Chippa United

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

TS Galaxy 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

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Chippa United 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWDDLDDD

Head-to-head

TS Galaxy 2–2–2 Chippa United (6 last)

TS Galaxy1-1Chippa United
Chippa United1-4TS Galaxy
TS Galaxy1-0Chippa United
TS Galaxy0-0Chippa United
Chippa United2-1TS Galaxy
TS Galaxy0-2Chippa United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TS Galaxy 1490 · Chippa United 1472

	TS Galaxy	Draw	Chippa United
Our model	46%	31%	22%
Market	47%	30%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TS Galaxy	Chippa United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	0.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3	2.1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.00

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.93

Under 21.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 23:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 1.91▼	Pinn 2.09 ★
X	2.90 → 3.00▲	Bet365 3.00
2	3.30 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
18:37 +6’	2.15	2.90	3.30
07:38 +7’	2.25▲	2.90	3.10▼
23:15 +5’	1.91▼	3.00▲	3.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:22 +56’	2.26	2.89	3.45
07:05 +41’	2.37▲	2.86▼	3.27▼
22:58 +22’	2.09▼	2.95▲	3.85▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TS Galaxy 2–2–2 Chippa United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 South Africa Premier	TS Galaxy	1-1 HT 0-1	Chippa United
19/08/25 South Africa Premier	Chippa United	1-4 HT 1-1	TS Galaxy
08/02/25 South Africa Premier	TS Galaxy	1-0 HT 0-0	Chippa United
20/10/24 South Africa League Cup	TS Galaxy	0-0 HT 0-0	Chippa United
29/09/24 South Africa Premier	Chippa United	2-1 HT 1-1	TS Galaxy
14/04/24 South Africa Cup	TS Galaxy	0-2 HT 0-1	Chippa United

Standings · South Africa Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	8	6	2	0	19	7	20
2	Orlando Pirates	6	5	1	0	14	1	16
3	Amazulu	6	4	1	1	9	7	13
4	Kaizer Chiefs	6	3	3	0	12	7	12
5	Milford FC	7	3	2	2	8	6	11
6	Sekhukhune United FC	7	3	2	2	7	7	11
7	Golden Arrows	6	1	4	1	3	3	7
8	Polokwane City	6	1	4	1	8	9	7
9	Stellenbosch FC	6	1	3	2	7	7	6
10	TS Galaxy	6	1	3	2	7	8	6
11	Durban City	6	1	3	2	3	4	6
12	Chippa United	6	0	5	1	3	6	5
13	Kruger United	6	1	1	4	3	11	4
14	Richards Bay FC	7	0	3	4	9	16	3
15	Siwelele FC	7	0	3	4	6	13	3
16	Marumo Gallants	6	0	2	4	5	11	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TS Galaxy	Chippa United
Sekhukhune United FC	0-0 D	1-3 L
Golden Arrows	0-0 D	0-0 D
Mamelodi Sundowns	2-3 L	1-1 D
Siwelele FC	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 1 L	0 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TS Galaxy

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Kruger United South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
05/09	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
25/08	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	1-1	3-2	1	3	W
16/08	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
11/08	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	1-1	2-3	0	3	L
02/08	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	0-1	2-2	2	5	D
23/05	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
12/05	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	2-2	3-2	1	5	W
09/05	Chippa United South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
06/05	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	1-1	1-1	5	5	D

Chippa United

LDLWDDLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
05/09	Milford FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
25/08	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
16/08	Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier	0-0	0-3	4	4	L
11/08	Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
01/08	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
23/05	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
16/05	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	0-2	0-2	5	0	L
09/05	TS Galaxy South Africa Premier	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
06/05	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	0-3	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TS Galaxy vs Chippa United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TS Galaxy win (47%). Probabilities: TS Galaxy 47%, draw 31%, Chippa United 23%.

How many goals are expected in TS Galaxy vs Chippa United?

The model expects 2.11 goals (TS Galaxy 1.29 · Chippa United 0.82), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in TS Galaxy vs Chippa United?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.