Football · South Africa Premier · 19/09, 17:30

Prediction: Polokwane City vs Amazulu

Team pages: Polokwane City · Amazulu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.97Total

Polokwane City0.92

Amazulu1.05

1X2

30% 32% 37%

Polokwane City Draw Amazulu

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Polokwane City 1-7-2 (W-D-L)

LDDDWDLDDD

Amazulu 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWWDWLWW

Head-to-head

Polokwane City 2–3–1 Amazulu (6 last)

Polokwane City0-1Amazulu
Polokwane City1-1Amazulu
Amazulu0-1Polokwane City
Amazulu1-1Polokwane City
Polokwane City2-1Amazulu
Amazulu0-0Polokwane City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Polokwane City 1478 · Amazulu 1548

	Polokwane City	Draw	Amazulu
Our model	30%	34%	37%
Market	31%	31%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amazulu (rating 1478 vs 1548).
H2H favours Polokwane City: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Polokwane City	Amazulu
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.3	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	22/67/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.1	2.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.90

X2.88

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.08

2 (0)1.73

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
20:38 +6’	2.90	2.88	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Polokwane City 2–3–1 Amazulu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 South Africa Premier	Polokwane City	0-1 HT 0-0	Amazulu
10/02/26 South Africa Cup	Polokwane City	1-1 HT 1-1	Amazulu
04/11/25 South Africa Premier	Amazulu	0-1 HT 0-1	Polokwane City
02/05/25 South Africa Premier	Amazulu	1-1 HT 1-0	Polokwane City
14/09/24 South Africa Premier	Polokwane City	2-1 HT 1-1	Amazulu
02/04/24 South Africa Premier	Amazulu	0-0 HT 0-0	Polokwane City

Standings · South Africa Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	8	6	2	0	19	7	20
2	Orlando Pirates	5	4	1	0	12	1	13
3	Amazulu	6	4	1	1	9	7	13
4	Kaizer Chiefs	6	3	3	0	12	7	12
5	Sekhukhune United FC	6	2	2	2	4	5	8
6	Milford FC	6	2	2	2	3	5	8
7	Golden Arrows	6	1	4	1	3	3	7
8	Polokwane City	6	1	4	1	8	9	7
9	Durban City	5	1	3	1	3	2	6
10	Stellenbosch FC	6	1	3	2	7	7	6
10	TS Galaxy	5	1	3	1	7	7	6
12	Chippa United	6	0	5	1	3	6	5
13	Richards Bay FC	5	0	3	2	6	8	3
14	Siwelele FC	7	0	3	4	6	13	3
15	Marumo Gallants	6	0	2	4	5	11	2
16	Kruger United	5	0	1	4	2	11	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Polokwane City	Amazulu
Kaizer Chiefs	1-1 D	0-1 L
Marumo Gallants	2-2 D	1-0 W
Stellenbosch FC	3-3 D	1-0 W
Richards Bay FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Golden Arrows	0-0 D	1-1 D
Mamelodi Sundowns	0-3 L	2-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Amazulu (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polokwane City

LDDDWDLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
04/09	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	2-2	2-2	2	3	D
26/08	Milford FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
15/08	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	0-2	0-2	1	5	L
11/08	Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier	1-1	3-3	5	1	D
02/08	Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier	1-0	2-1	1	0	W
16/05	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
09/05	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
06/05	Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
03/05	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	0-1	0-3	5	2	L

Amazulu

DDLWWDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
04/09	Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier	0-0	2-1	7	3	W
26/08	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	0-2	2-5	5	4	L
15/08	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/08	Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier	1-1	1-1	7	1	D
01/08	Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
23/05	Durban City South Africa Premier	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
16/05	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
09/05	Orbit College South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
06/05	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	1-0	1-1	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polokwane City vs Amazulu?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Amazulu win (37%). Probabilities: Polokwane City 30%, draw 32%, Amazulu 37%.

How many goals are expected in Polokwane City vs Amazulu?

The model expects 1.97 goals (Polokwane City 0.92 · Amazulu 1.05), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Polokwane City vs Amazulu?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.