Football · South Africa Premier · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Richards Bay FC vs Sekhukhune United FC

Team pages: Richards Bay FC · Sekhukhune United FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.28Total

Richards Bay FC1.01

Sekhukhune United FC1.27

1X2

28% 31% 41%

Richards Bay FC Draw Sekhukhune United FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Richards Bay FC 0-6-4 (W-D-L)

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Sekhukhune United FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Richards Bay FC 2–2–2 Sekhukhune United FC (6 last)

Richards Bay FC1-1Sekhukhune United FC
Sekhukhune United FC1-1Richards Bay FC
Richards Bay FC2-1Sekhukhune United FC
Sekhukhune United FC2-0Richards Bay FC
Richards Bay FC1-0Sekhukhune United FC
Sekhukhune United FC3-1Richards Bay FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Richards Bay FC 1449 · Sekhukhune United FC 1504

	Richards Bay FC	Draw	Sekhukhune United FC
Our model	28%	31%	41%
Market	28%	31%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sekhukhune United FC (rating 1449 vs 1504).
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Richards Bay FC	Sekhukhune United FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/44/33%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.4	1.3 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.20

X2.88

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.93

Under 21.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:12 +9’	3.20	2.88	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Richards Bay FC 2–2–2 Sekhukhune United FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 South Africa Premier	Richards Bay FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Sekhukhune United FC
04/11/25 South Africa Premier	Sekhukhune United FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Richards Bay FC
05/03/25 South Africa Premier	Richards Bay FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Sekhukhune United FC
29/10/24 South Africa Premier	Sekhukhune United FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Richards Bay FC
20/10/24 South Africa League Cup	Richards Bay FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Sekhukhune United FC
17/02/24 South Africa Premier	Sekhukhune United FC	3-1 HT 1-0	Richards Bay FC

Standings · South Africa Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	8	6	2	0	19	7	20
2	Orlando Pirates	5	4	1	0	12	1	13
3	Amazulu	6	4	1	1	9	7	13
4	Kaizer Chiefs	6	3	3	0	12	7	12
5	Sekhukhune United FC	6	2	2	2	4	5	8
6	Milford FC	6	2	2	2	3	5	8
7	Golden Arrows	6	1	4	1	3	3	7
8	Polokwane City	6	1	4	1	8	9	7
9	Durban City	5	1	3	1	3	2	6
10	Stellenbosch FC	6	1	3	2	7	7	6
10	TS Galaxy	5	1	3	1	7	7	6
12	Chippa United	6	0	5	1	3	6	5
13	Richards Bay FC	5	0	3	2	6	8	3
14	Siwelele FC	7	0	3	4	6	13	3
15	Marumo Gallants	6	0	2	4	5	11	2
16	Kruger United	5	0	1	4	2	11	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Richards Bay FC	Sekhukhune United FC
Kaizer Chiefs	2-2 D	0-2 L
Durban City	1-1 D	1-0 W
Chippa United	1-1 D	3-1 W
Polokwane City	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sekhukhune United FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Richards Bay FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Milford FC South Africa Premier	0-2	1-5	6	2	L
04/09	Amazulu South Africa Premier	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
26/08	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
15/08	Durban City South Africa Premier	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Chippa United South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
02/08	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	0-1	1-2	12	0	L
23/05	Magesi FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
16/05	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
09/05	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
06/05	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	4	2	D

Sekhukhune United FC

WLDDWLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	1	7	D
05/09	TS Galaxy South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
25/08	Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
15/08	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	2-0	2-0	5	5	W
12/08	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
01/08	Durban City South Africa Premier	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
23/05	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	0-2	2-2	4	8	D
16/05	Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
10/05	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
06/05	Chippa United South Africa Premier	3-0	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Richards Bay FC vs Sekhukhune United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sekhukhune United FC win (41%). Probabilities: Richards Bay FC 28%, draw 31%, Sekhukhune United FC 41%.

How many goals are expected in Richards Bay FC vs Sekhukhune United FC?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Richards Bay FC 1.01 · Sekhukhune United FC 1.27), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Richards Bay FC vs Sekhukhune United FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.