Football · South Africa Premier · 12/09, 15:00
Prediction: Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs
Team pages: Polokwane City · Kaizer Chiefs
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.85Total
Polokwane City0.72
Kaizer Chiefs1.13
1X2
Polokwane City
Draw
Kaizer Chiefs
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Polokwane City
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Kaizer Chiefs
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Polokwane City
1–3–2
Kaizer Chiefs
(6 last)
- Polokwane City0-0Kaizer Chiefs
- Kaizer Chiefs1-0Polokwane City
- Kaizer Chiefs0-0Polokwane City
- Polokwane City2-0Kaizer Chiefs
- Kaizer Chiefs0-0Polokwane City
- Polokwane City0-1Kaizer Chiefs
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polokwane City 1474 · Kaizer Chiefs 1521
| Polokwane City | Draw | Kaizer Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 34% | 44% |
| Market | 23% | 31% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.85 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaizer Chiefs (rating 1474 vs 1521).
- H2H favours Kaizer Chiefs: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Polokwane City | Kaizer Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.7 | 1.7 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polokwane City 1–3–2 Kaizer Chiefs
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 South Africa Premier | Polokwane City | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kaizer Chiefs |
| 13/08/25 South Africa Premier | Kaizer Chiefs | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Polokwane City |
| 24/05/25 South Africa Premier | Kaizer Chiefs | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Polokwane City |
| 08/12/24 South Africa Premier | Polokwane City | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Kaizer Chiefs |
| 18/05/24 South Africa Premier | Kaizer Chiefs | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Polokwane City |
| 09/12/23 South Africa Premier | Polokwane City | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Kaizer Chiefs |
Standings · South Africa Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
| 3 | Kaizer Chiefs | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Amazulu | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Milford FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Sekhukhune United FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Durban City | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | TS Galaxy | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Golden Arrows | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Polokwane City | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 11 | Stellenbosch FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| 12 | Chippa United | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Richards Bay FC | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 14 | Marumo Gallants | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
| 15 | Siwelele FC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 2 |
| 16 | Kruger United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Polokwane City | Kaizer Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Sekhukhune United FC | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Richards Bay FC | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Kaizer Chiefs (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polokwane City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/08 | Milford FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 11/08 | Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 02/08 | Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Golden Arrows South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
Kaizer Chiefs
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/08 | Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 12/08 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Kruger United South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 29/04 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
0-2 | 0-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kaizer Chiefs win (45%). Probabilities: Polokwane City 23%, draw 33%, Kaizer Chiefs 45%.
How many goals are expected in Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs?
The model expects 1.85 goals (Polokwane City 0.72 · Kaizer Chiefs 1.13), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.