Football · Paraguay Women League · 03/08, 00:30
Prediction: Sportivo Ameliano (W) vs Sportivo Luqueno (W)
Team pages: Sportivo Ameliano (W) · Sportivo Luqueno (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.8Total
Sportivo Ameliano (W)1.72
Sportivo Luqueno (W)2.08
1X2
Sportivo Ameliano (W)
Draw
Sportivo Luqueno (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Ameliano (W)
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Sportivo Luqueno (W)
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Ameliano (W)
3–1–2
Sportivo Luqueno (W)
(6 last)
- Sportivo Luqueno (W)1-1Sportivo Ameliano (W)
- Sportivo Luqueno (W)3-2Sportivo Ameliano (W)
- Sportivo Luqueno (W)0-3Sportivo Ameliano (W)
- Sportivo Ameliano (W)2-3Sportivo Luqueno (W)
- Sportivo Luqueno (W)0-2Sportivo Ameliano (W)
- Sportivo Ameliano (W)1-0Sportivo Luqueno (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Ameliano (W) 1398 · Sportivo Luqueno (W) 1388
| Sportivo Ameliano (W) | Draw | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 23% | 46% |
| Market | 31% | 24% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sportivo Ameliano (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Ameliano (W) | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 4.7 | 0.4 / 4.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 2.1 | 0.3 / 2.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 20/0/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 3.8 | 1.4 / 2.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Ameliano (W) 3–1–2 Sportivo Luqueno (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) |
| 20/09/25 Paraguay Copa EFE Women | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) |
| 23/08/25 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) |
| 21/04/25 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) |
| 12/08/24 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) |
| 26/05/24 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) |
Standings · Paraguay Women League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Limpeno (W) | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 69 | 6 | 38 |
| 2 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 52 | 2 | 32 |
| 3 | Club Guarani (W) | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 16 | 30 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno (W) | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 22 |
| 6 | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 31 | 22 |
| 7 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 17 |
| 8 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 14 |
| 9 | 2 de Mayo (W) | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 10 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu (W) | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 10 |
| 11 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 55 | 6 |
| 12 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | Sportivo Luqueno (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 2-6 L | 1-6 L |
| Libertad Limpeno (W) | 0-11 L | 0-9 L |
| Rubio Nu (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Club Guarani (W) | 0-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 0-10 L | 0-7 L |
| Cerro Porteno (W) | 0-4 L | 0-6 L |
| Nacional-Humaita (W) | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 7 L | 0 W 1 D 7 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Ameliano (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-2 | 2-6 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-7 | 0-11 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/07 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 13/07 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 28/06 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 2-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-5 | 0-10 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 11/05 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Sportivo Luqueno (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 22/07 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 19/07 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-3 | 0-7 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-4 | 1-6 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-6 | 0-9 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/05 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 01/05 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Ameliano (W) vs Sportivo Luqueno (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sportivo Luqueno (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Sportivo Ameliano (W) 31%, draw 23%, Sportivo Luqueno (W) 45%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Ameliano (W) vs Sportivo Luqueno (W)?
The model expects 3.8 goals (Sportivo Ameliano (W) 1.72 · Sportivo Luqueno (W) 2.08), with a 59% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Ameliano (W) vs Sportivo Luqueno (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.