Football · Paraguay Women League · 09/08, 22:15
Prediction: Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) vs Club Guarani (W)
Team pages: Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) · Club Guarani (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.79Total
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)1.56
Club Guarani (W)2.24
1X2
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)
Draw
Club Guarani (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Club Guarani (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)
0–2
Club Guarani (W)
(2 last)
- Club Guarani (W)3-2Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)
- Club Guarani (W)2-0Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) 1507 · Club Guarani (W) 1524
| Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | Draw | Club Guarani (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| Market | 25% | 24% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Club Guarani (W): 2-0-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | Club Guarani (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 2.3 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 44/22/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.8 | 2.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.6 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) 0–0–2 Club Guarani (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Paraguay Women League | Club Guarani (W) | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) |
| 10/06/21 Paraguay Women League | Club Guarani (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) |
Standings · Paraguay Women League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Limpeno (W) | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 72 | 6 | 41 |
| 2 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 60 | 2 | 38 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno (W) | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 54 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Club Guarani (W) | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 22 |
| 6 | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 37 | 22 |
| 7 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 17 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu (W) | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo (W) | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 50 | 10 |
| 11 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 55 | 7 |
| 12 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 3 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | Club Guarani (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 6-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Cerro Porteno (W) | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Nacional-Humaita (W) | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| 2 de Mayo (W) | 3-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 0-7 L | 1-4 L |
| Libertad Limpeno (W) | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Rubio Nu (W) | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 1-4 L | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 4 L | 5 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 15 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-2 | 6-2 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 20/07 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
4-1 | 6-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-7 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 10 | L |
Club Guarani (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 26/07 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 22/07 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 28/06 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) vs Club Guarani (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Guarani (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) 25%, draw 23%, Club Guarani (W) 52%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) vs Club Guarani (W)?
The model expects 3.79 goals (Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) 1.56 · Club Guarani (W) 2.24), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) vs Club Guarani (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.