Football · Paraguay Women League · 09/08, 20:00

Prediction: Rubio Nu (W) vs Olimpia Asuncion (W)

Team pages: Rubio Nu (W) · Olimpia Asuncion (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.79Total

Rubio Nu (W)1.39

Olimpia Asuncion (W)3.39

1X2

6% 8% 86%

Rubio Nu (W) Draw Olimpia Asuncion (W)

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-3

Recent form · 10 last

Rubio Nu (W) 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWLDDDDL

Olimpia Asuncion (W) 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Rubio Nu (W) 0–1 Olimpia Asuncion (W) (1 last)

Olimpia Asuncion (W)7-0Rubio Nu (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rubio Nu (W) 1450 · Olimpia Asuncion (W) 1645

	Rubio Nu (W)	Draw	Olimpia Asuncion (W)
Our model	12%	14%	75%
Market	2%	3%	94%

Estimated total (ours) 4.79 goals · Bet365 line 5.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia Asuncion (W) (rating 1450 vs 1645).
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rubio Nu (W)	Olimpia Asuncion (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.2	5 / 0.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.2	2.3 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	90/10/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 2	4.1 / 8.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.6	3.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

141.00

X29.00

21.01

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.90

2 (-4.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 5.251.85

Under 5.251.95

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	41.00 → 34.00▼	Bet365 34.00
X	29.00 → 21.00▼	Bet365 21.00
2	1.01 → 1.02▲	Bet365 1.02

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:03 +5’	41.00	29.00	1.01
20:45 +3’	34.00▼	21.00▼	1.02▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rubio Nu (W) 0–0–1 Olimpia Asuncion (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Paraguay Women League	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	7-0 HT 3-0	Rubio Nu (W)

Standings · Paraguay Women League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Libertad Limpeno (W)	15	13	2	0	72	6	41
2	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	14	12	2	0	60	2	38
3	Cerro Porteno (W)	15	9	3	3	54	10	30
4	Club Guarani (W)	15	9	3	3	28	19	30
5	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	15	7	1	7	42	34	22
6	Nacional-Humaita (W)	16	7	1	8	26	37	22
7	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	13	6	2	5	18	18	20
8	Deportivo Recoleta (W)	15	5	2	8	19	35	17
9	Rubio Nu (W)	14	2	4	8	11	38	10
10	2 de Mayo (W)	15	3	1	11	21	50	10
11	Sportivo Luqueno (W)	15	1	4	10	8	55	7
12	Sportivo Ameliano (W)	14	0	3	11	9	64	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rubio Nu (W)	Olimpia Asuncion (W)
Sportivo Trinidense (W)	0-3 L	4-0 W
Club Guarani (W)	1-1 D	4-1 W
Deportivo Recoleta (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
Sportivo Ameliano (W)	1-1 D	10-0 W
Nacional-Humaita (W)	3-2 W	6-0 W
2 de Mayo (W)	3-1 W	5-0 W
Sportivo Luqueno (W)	1-1 D	7-0 W
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	0-5 L	7-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 2 L	8 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpia Asuncion (W) (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rubio Nu (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	0-3	0-3	1	7	L
26/07	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
20/07	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
16/07	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	1-1	1	6	D
13/07	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
29/06	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-2	0-6	0	2	L
31/05	Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	3-2	3	5	W
24/05	2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	3-1	0	11	W
16/05	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	1-1	1	3	D
09/05	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	0-2	0-5	2	5	L

Olimpia Asuncion (W)

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/08	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	2-0	10	0	W
02/08	Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League	4-0	6-0	7	5	W
29/07	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	4-0	10	6	W
26/07	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	2-0	11	2	W
22/07	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	4-1	7	7	W
18/07	2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	5-0	5	4	W
05/07	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	3-0	3-0	2	8	W
27/06	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	3-0	7-0	15	1	W
23/05	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	7-0	9	2	W
17/05	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	5-0	10-0	9	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rubio Nu (W) vs Olimpia Asuncion (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Olimpia Asuncion (W) win (86%). Probabilities: Rubio Nu (W) 6%, draw 8%, Olimpia Asuncion (W) 86%.

How many goals are expected in Rubio Nu (W) vs Olimpia Asuncion (W)?

The model expects 4.79 goals (Rubio Nu (W) 1.39 · Olimpia Asuncion (W) 3.39), with a 55% chance of under 5.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Rubio Nu (W) vs Olimpia Asuncion (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.